08-07-2017: Renewable Energy Group Inc. (REGI): Biding Its Time Awaiting Social Enlightenment

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Recommendation

Renewable Energy Group Inc.

Renewable Energy Group Inc. (REGI) is an Iowa-based manufacturer of biofuels. It uses various sources including grains and used cooking oils. It is making focused acqusitions and growing rapidly. It is considered more risky than most of its competitors by various researchers who overall are negative on the stock. Analysts are more supportive, and institutions are net acquirers, with the presence of Dimensional Fund Advisors prominent among them.

The industry group stock performance as a whole is weak. Optimism has given way under the Trump Administration to a focus on less environmental fuels such as coal, and a weakening of federal mandates to include biofuels in available mixtures.

We are skeptical of management's reporting of executive salaries and stock options. Management appears to be excellent and there is a glitzy annual report with CEO Letter to Shareholders.

The company appears to be asset-rich. Beside manufacturing biofuels, the corporation manages construction of facilities for others to do the same.

The stock appears to be biding its time, waiting for more enlightened governmental mandates support. One thing holding it back for sure is a rather erratic earnings picture. In the latest quarter it reported a loss. News consists of acquisitions, attempts to protect patents, and attempts to influence governmental policy toward use of renewable fuels. How long the comany continues to bide its time depends upon how long American voters continue to vote for ineffective representatives who are less socially-conscious and responsible than their predecessors. Some of the crazy policies of the Trump Adminstration to play to its "base" by talking up jobs, jobs, for coal miners oil drillers and pipelines fails to emphasize the vaster potential for jobs provided in the building of alternate energy infrastructure, which has been neglected by the present Federal Government.

One thing is very clear from news reports. Support for environmentally-conscious policies is not entirely dependent upon the Federal Government and optimistic prospect arise out of policies of major environmental states like California, New York, and Illinois.



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Zenith Index

Under current market conditions, a Zenith Index Score of 1.20 or above is required for a positive rating on this factor. 1.21 -1.30 is considered acceptable, 1.30-1.40 is considered strong and
> 1.40 is considered exceptionally strong. Accounting statements in this section often contain mistakes, especially in earlier years' totals, but data is deemed sufficient for us to give a rating. More accurate financial statements follow in the next section.

Renewable Energy Group, Inc. (REGI)                       Exchange: Nasdaq
416 South Bell Avenue
Ames, IA 50010                   Sector: Basic Materials
United States                    Industry:Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Renewable Energy Group, Inc. produces and sells biofuels and renewable
chemicals in the United States. It operates through Biomass-Based
Diesel, Services, Renewable Chemicals, and Corporate and Other segments.
The Biomass-Based Diesel segment acquires feedstock; manages,
constructs, and operates biomass-based diesel production facilities; and
markets, sells, and distributes biomass-based diesel and its
co-products. It produces biomass-based diesel from a range of
feedstocks, including inedible corn oil, used cooking oil, soybean oil,
canola oil, and inedible animal fat. This segment is also involved in
the purchase and resale of biomass-based diesel, petroleum-based diesel,
renewable identification numbers, and raw material feedstocks acquired
from third parties; and sale of glycerin, free fatty acids, naphtha, and
other co-products of the biomass-based diesel production process. The
Services segment provides facility management and operational services
to biomass-based diesel production facilities, as well as to other
clean-tech companies. This segment also offers construction management
services for biomass-based diesel production facilities. The Renewable
Chemicals segment engages in the production of renewable chemicals,
advanced biofuels, and other products. The Corporate and Other segment
trades petroleum-based heating oil and diesel fuel. Renewable Energy
Group, Inc. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Ames, Iowa.

Last Trade:  12.70                           52-Week Range:  13.39 -   7.91
Employees: 703                               Avg.Volume:     453,846 Shares

Corporate Governance:
Pillar scores are Audit: 2; Board: 6; Shareholder Rights: 6; Compensation: 5.
         (A lower number means less governance risk.)

EPS:  0.87    Dividend Amount: $ 0.00          Yield:  0.00%
             Ex-Dividend Date: N/A             Payout Ratio:   0.00

Key Statistics:

    Trailing P/E:  13.78              Forward P/E (est.):   7.06
                                           Target Price:  15.33

Qrtly Stock Price Growth (yoy):  31.74%               Beta:   1.57
Qrtly S&P Index   Growth (yoy):  40.60%        Short Ratio:  18.42%
    Qrtly Revenue Growth (yoy):  13.25%         Shares Out:  38590000
   Qrtly Earnings Growth (yoy):   0.00%

          Book Value:  15.35                    Debt/Equity:  39.41%
    Price/Book Value:   0.78        Operating Profit Margin:   2.88%
         Price/Sales:   0.21                  Profit Margin:   1.63%
         Market Cap:     463,132,000       Return on Equity:   5.90%
    Enterprise Value:               0      Return on Assets:   3.43%

    Operating Cash Flow:    -66,010,000
         Free Cash Flow:   -139,470,000



Annual Income Statement:                          (All numbers in thousands)
  Period Ending                             12/31/2016  12/31/2015  12/31/2014

  Total Revenue                              2,041,232   1,387,344   1,273,831
  Cost of Revenue                            1,869,716   1,276,801   1,113,219
  Gross Profit                                 171,516     110,543     160,612

Operating Expenses:
  Research & Development                             0           0           0
  Selling, General & Administrative             88,285      73,397      62,681
  Non-Recurring Expenses                        17,893     175,028     175,028
  Other Operating Expenses                           0           0           0
  Total Operating Expenses                           0           0           0

Operating Income or Loss                        47,175    -154,733      85,507

Income from Continuing Operations:
  Total Other Income/Expenses Net               17,793       6,189       7,293
  Earnings Before Interest & Taxes              64,968    -148,544      92,800
  Interest Expense                              15,987      11,867       6,690
  Income Before Taxes                           48,981    -160,411      86,110
  Income Tax Expense                             4,268      -8,701       3,572
  Minority Interest                              2,831       2,730       8,889

Net Income from Continuing Op.s                 44,327    -151,392      82,611

Non-recurring Events:
  Discontinued Operations                            0           0           0
  Extraordinary Items                                0           0           0
  Effect of Accounting Changes                       0           0           0
  Other Items                                        0           0           0
  Net Income                                    44,327    -151,392      82,611
  Preferred Stock & Other Adjustments                0           0           0

Net Income Avail to Common Shares               43,453    -151,392      81,620



Annual Cash Flow Statement:                   (All numbers in thousands)
  Period Ending                         12/31/2016    12/31/2015    12/31/2014

  Net Income                                44,327      -151,392        82,611

Operating Activities:
  Depreciation                              38,102        30,527        19,051
  Adjustments to Net Income                  9,992       166,400         4,595
  Changes in Accounts Recv'bls             145,068       -20,309      -207,877
  Changes in Liabilities                   -98,455         9,306       146,644
  Changes in Investories                   -58,551        29,631          -277
  Changes in other Oper'g Acts              -5,566        16,315       -12,146

Total Cash Flow f Operations                75,303        80,160        32,528

Investing Activities:
  Capital Exenditures                      -60,705       -64,477       -60,163
  Investments                               -3,249        15,092       -19,913
  Other Cash Flows fr Investing                189       -18,537      -136,957

Total Cash Flows from Investing            -63,765       -67,922      -217,033

Financing Activities:
  Dividends Paid                                 0             0           -40
  Sale of Purchase of Stock                -51,474       -24,350        -5,678
  Net Borrowings                           123,406          -134       117,135
  Other Cash Flows fr Financing             -7,548        -2,248      -136,957

Total Cash Flows from Financing             58,174       -27,274        94,794

  Effect of Exchange Rate Chg                 -583        -1,399        -1,399

Change in Cash & Cash Equiv.                69,712       -15,036       -89,711



Annual Balance Sheets:                              (All Numbers in Thousands)
  Period Ending                          12/31/2016    12/31/2015    12/31/2014
Current Assets:
  Cash & Cash Equivalents                   116,210        47,081        76,361
  Short Term Investments                          0             0        16,770
  Net Receivables                           164,949       310,731       294,669
  Inventory                                 145,408        85,890        97,508
  Other Current Assets                       36,272        31,882        43,135
  Total Current Assets                      462,839       475,584       511,673

  Long-Term Investments                      12,110         8,797         9,736
  Property, Plant & Equipt                  599,474       574,584       493,196
  Goodwill                                   16,080        16,080       188,275
  Intangible Assets                          29,470        30,941        28,837
  Accumulated Amortization                        0             0             0
  Other Assets                               16,630       117,634       119,249
  Deferred LT Asset Charges                       0             0             0

Total Assets                              1,136,603     1,223,620     1,367,736

Current Liabilities:
  Accounts Payable                          138,053       265,283       246,206
  Current Portion LT Debt                    68,246        28,355        22,425
  Other Current Liabilities                  27,246           333        16,680
  Total Current Liabilities                 233,545       293,971        285,311

  Long Term Debt                            138,053       265,283       246,206
  Other Liabilities                          68,246        28,355        22,425
  Deferred LT Liab. Charges                  27,246           333        16,680
  Minority Interest                           2,831         2,730         8,889
  Negative Goodwill                           2,831         2,730         8,889

Total Liabilities                           528,167       593,154       597,963

Stockholder Equity:
  Misc. Options, Warrants                         0             0             0
  Redeemable Preferred Stock                      0             0             0
  Preferred Stock                                 0             0             0
  Common Stock                                    5             4             4
  Retained Earnings                         214,007       169,680       321,083
  Treasury Stock                            -81,824       -28,762        -4,412
  Capital Surplus                           480,906       474,367       453,109
  Other Stockhohlder Equity                  -5,751        -4,009           -11
  Total Stockholder Equity                  607,343       611,280       769,773

Net Tangible Assets                         561,793       564,259       552,661



Renewable Energy Group, Inc. (REGI)         [Indices near +3.0, near zero,
                                            or < zero bear special attention.]
P/E Ratio Tests:
P/E Ratio < 28?            2.0319          P/E Ratio > 5?             1.0000
P/E Ratio Vs Growth Rate:  0.0000          Forward P/E Ratio < 28?    3.0000
Price/Sales Ratio < 2.3?   3.0000          Inventory/Sales < 5%?      0.7019
Sales < $1 Billion?        0.4899          Operating Margin < 7.5%?   2.6042

Balance Sheet Tests:
Debt/Equity < 0.40?        1.0150          Long-Term Debt Service:    2.7247
LTD Being Reduced?         3.0000          Short-Term Debt Service:   3.0000
Current Ratio > 2?         0.9909          Working Capital >= 1.5?    0.7670
Leverage Ratio < 20%?      0.4145          Debt/Assets < 1?           3.0000
Quick Ratio > 1?           3.0000          Inventory Turnover > 1?    1.3695
Share Equity Increase:     1.7877          Market Cap.< 1.5 Billion?  3.0000
                                           Intangibles < 3% Assets?   0.7486
Income Tests:
Profit Margin < 7.5%?      0.2173          EPS Annual Growth > 10%?  -0.3484
Dividend Yield > 2.0%?     0.0000          EPS 3-yr Growth > 15?      0.2818
Enterprise Value/Revenue   0.2269          EPS Growth Consistent?     0.0000
Enterprise Value/EBITDA:   3.0000          Collection < 45 days?      1.5257
EPS Qrtly Growth > 10%?    0.0000          Gross Pft/Cur. LTD > 1?    2.5132
                                           Borrowing Int. Rate < 6%?  0.8381
Stock Performance Tests:
Volatility > 25%?          1.6370          % Held by Insiders < 5%?   0.1842
Beta > 1.25?               1.2560          % Held by Institut. < 50?  0.6553
50 Da MA > 200 Da MA?      0.4205          % Held by Institut. > 30?  2.5433
52-Wk Change vs. S&P 500:  2.3955          Short Ratio > 5?           3.0000
Price/Book Value < 3?      3.0000          Short % of Float > 20?     1.4605
Return on Assets > 17%?    0.2018          Average Volume > 100,000?  3.0000

Cash Flow Tests:
Oper. C.F. > Lever'd C.F:  0.4733          Positive Free Cash Flow?  -1.0000
Positive Oper. Cash Flow? -1.0000          Price to C.F.Ratio < 14?:  3.0000
                                           Cash Flow / Assets > 10%?  1.7354

REGI   Renewable Energy Group, Inc.        Overall Zenith Index:      1.4054


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Financial Statements

RENEWABLE ENERGY GROUP INC  (REGI)          INCOME STATEMENT

Fiscal year ends in December.                        2012-12         2013-12         2014-12         2015-12         2016-12             TTM           

Revenue                                        1,015,033,984   1,498,137,984   1,273,831,040   1,387,344,000   2,041,232,000   2,162,255,104
Cost of revenue                                  956,710,976   1,258,705,024   1,113,218,944   1,276,801,024   1,869,715,968   1,990,840,064
Gross profit                                      58,323,000     239,432,992     160,612,000     110,543,000     171,516,000     171,415,008


Operating expenses
Research and development                                   0               0      12,424,000      16,851,000      18,163,000      17,835,000
Sales, General and administrative                 42,422,000      46,123,000      62,681,000      73,397,000      88,285,000      91,415,000
Other operating expenses                                   0               0               0     175,028,000      17,893,000      17,893,000
Total operating expenses                          42,422,000      46,123,000      75,105,000     265,276,000     124,341,000     127,143,000

Operating income                                  15,901,000     193,310,000      85,507,000    -154,732,992      47,175,000      44,272,000
Interest Expense                                   4,679,000       2,397,000       6,690,000      11,867,000      15,987,000      17,212,000
Other income (expense)                            12,491,000         388,000       7,293,000       6,189,000      17,793,000      13,242,000
Income before taxes                               23,713,000     191,300,992      86,110,000    -160,411,008      48,981,000      40,302,000
Provision for income taxes                         1,454,000       4,935,000       3,572,000      -8,701,000       4,268,000       4,615,000
Net income from continuing operations             22,259,000     186,366,000      82,538,000    -151,710,000      44,713,000      35,687,000
Other                                                      0               0          73,000         318,000        -386,000        -356,000
Net income                                        22,259,000     186,366,000      82,611,000    -151,392,000      44,327,000      35,331,000
Preferred dividend                               -34,143,000       2,055,000        -247,000               0         874,000         874,000
Net income available to common shareholders       56,402,000     184,311,008      82,858,000    -151,392,000      43,453,000      34,457,000

Earnings per share
Basic                                                   1.53            5.00            2.00           -3.44            1.06            0.81 
Diluted                                                 0.27            5.00            1.99           -3.44            1.06            0.81 

Weighted average shares outstanding
Basic                                             28,381,676      33,045,164      40,740,412      43,958,804      40,897,548      39,572,540
Diluted                                           34,340,464      33,052,880      40,749,912      43,958,804      40,902,860      39,577,852

____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


RENEWABLE ENERGY GROUP INC  (REGI)          BALANCE SHEET

Fiscal year ends in December.                        2012-12         2013-12         2014-12         2015-12         2016-12             

Assets

Current assets

Cash

Short-term investments                                     0               0      16,770,000               0               0
Total cash                                        66,785,000     153,227,008      80,286,000      47,081,000     116,210,000

Receivables                                       18,768,000      82,485,000     294,668,992     310,731,008     164,948,992
Inventories                                       45,206,000      85,814,000      97,508,000      85,890,000     154,806,000
Deferred income taxes                              2,512,000               0               0               0               0
Prepaid expenses                                  15,812,000      25,568,000      43,135,000      12,328,000      10,665,000
Other current assets                                       0         426,000      12,845,000      19,554,000      16,209,000
Total current assets                             149,083,008     347,520,000     528,443,008     475,584,000     462,839,008

Non-current assets

Property, plant and equipment
Gross property, plant and equipment              277,676,000     330,100,000     547,084,992     649,702,976     737,846,016
Accumulated Depreciation                         -29,386,000     -38,876,000     -53,889,000     -75,119,000    -138,372,000
Net property, plant and equipment                248,290,000     291,224,000     493,196,000     574,584,000     599,473,984

Equity and other investments                       2,618,000       7,351,000       9,736,000       8,797,000      12,110,000
Goodwill                                          84,864,000      84,864,000     188,275,008      16,080,000      16,080,000
Intangible assets                                  4,609,000       4,867,000      28,837,000      30,941,000      29,470,000
Deferred income taxes                                969,000               0               0               0               0
Other long-term assets                             5,351,000       5,029,000     124,401,000     117,634,000      16,630,000
Total non-current assets                         346,700,992     393,335,008     844,444,992     748,035,968     673,763,968

Total assets                                     495,784,000     740,854,976   1,372,888,064   1,223,619,968   1,136,603,008 

Liabilities and stockholders' equity

Liabilities

Current liabilities
Short-term debt                                    5,238,000      18,015,000      22,425,000      28,355,000      68,246,000
Capital leases                                     1,129,000               0       1,828,000       1,828,000       1,828,000
Accounts payable                                  28,131,000      48,175,000     202,820,992     236,816,992      99,137,000
Deferred income taxes                                      0       3,687,000      14,899,000               0               0
Taxes payable                                      1,201,000               0       1,412,000       1,056,000       3,121,000
Accrued liabilities                                3,422,000      12,305,000      11,322,000       9,354,000      15,542,000
Deferred revenues                                          0      15,503,000      17,425,000         333,000      27,246,000
Other current liabilities                            723,000         552,000      13,179,000      16,228,000      18,425,000
Total current liabilities                         39,844,000      98,237,000     285,311,008     293,971,008     233,544,992

Non-current liabilities
Long-term debt                                    31,806,000      27,151,000     247,183,008     247,251,008     223,303,008
Capital leases                                     9,035,000       7,905,000      19,170,000      17,343,000      15,515,000
Deferred taxes liabilities                                 0       2,691,000       6,905,000      19,186,000      20,279,000
Minority interest                                          0               0       8,889,000       2,730,000       2,831,000
Other long-term liabilities                       90,335,000      10,801,000      35,657,000      31,859,000      33,787,000
Total non-current liabilities                    131,176,000      48,548,000     317,804,000     318,368,992     295,715,008

Total liabilities                                171,020,000     146,784,992     603,115,008     612,339,968     529,260,000 

Stockholders' equity

Preferred stock                                            0       3,963,000               0               0               0
Common stock                                           3,000           4,000           4,000           4,000           5,000
Additional paid-in capital                       273,988,992     359,671,008     453,108,992               0     480,905,984
Retained earnings                                 53,823,000     238,134,000     321,083,008     169,680,000     214,007,008
Treasury stock                                    -3,198,000      -3,886,000      -4,412,000     -28,762,000     -81,824,000
Accumulated other comprehensive income               147,000      -3,816,000         -11,000     470,358,016      -5,751,000
Total stockholders' equity                       324,764,000     594,070,016     769,772,992     611,280,000     607,342,976
Total liabilities and stockholders' equity       495,784,000     740,854,976   1,372,888,064   1,223,619,968   1,136,603,008

____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


RENEWABLE ENERGY GROUP INC  (REGI)          Statement of CASH FLOW

Fiscal year ends in December. USD.                   2012-12         2013-12         2014-12         2015-12         2016-12             TTM           

Cash Flows From Operating Activities
Net income                                        22,259,000     186,366,000      82,538,000    -151,710,000      44,713,000      35,687,000
Depreciation & amortization                        7,921,000       9,242,000      15,796,000      25,567,000      32,877,000      33,905,000
Amortization of debt discount/premium and is               0               0       3,255,000       4,960,000       5,225,000       5,360,000
Investment/asset impairment charges                        0               0               0     176,943,008      17,893,000               0
Deferred income taxes                              2,986,000       9,859,000       3,641,000      -8,953,000       3,009,000       2,975,000
Stock based compensation                          13,119,000       5,416,000       5,883,000       5,161,000       5,896,000       6,128,000
Accounts receivable                               32,014,000     -64,460,000    -207,876,992     -20,309,000     145,068,000      46,930,000
Inventory                                         -3,096,000     -40,608,000        -277,000      29,631,000     -58,551,000     -36,957,000
Prepaid expenses                                    -394,000      -9,984,000     -12,146,000      16,315,000      -5,566,000      -7,771,000
Accounts payable                                  -4,002,000      22,386,000     143,131,008      32,422,000    -133,139,000    -180,440,000
Accrued liabilities                               -2,614,000       4,801,000       2,336,000      -6,769,000       7,771,000       3,378,000
Other working capital                             -6,748,000      15,503,000       1,177,000     -16,347,000      26,913,000      18,639,000
Other non-cash items                             -16,826,000       1,124,000      -4,929,000      -6,751,000     -16,806,000       6,159,000
Net cash provided by operating activities         44,619,000     139,644,992      32,528,000      80,160,000      75,303,000     -66,007,000

Cash Flows From Investing Activities
Investments in property, plant, and equipmen     -12,654,000     -39,053,000     -60,163,000     -64,477,000     -60,705,000     -62,571,000
Property, plant, and equipment reductions                  0         330,000          45,000               0               0               0
Acquisitions, net                                 -1,791,000     -10,933,000     -19,369,000     -41,409,000     -12,720,000      -3,291,000
Purchases of investments                             -37,000      -4,733,000     -83,753,000     -53,887,000      -3,249,000        -816,000
Sales/Maturities of investments                            0               0      63,840,000      68,979,000               0               0
Other investing activities                           -64,000               0    -117,633,000      22,872,000      12,909,000      10,866,000
Net cash used for investing activities           -14,546,000     -54,389,000    -217,032,992     -67,922,000     -63,765,000     -55,812,000

Cash Flows From Financing Activities
Debt issued                                    1,331,556,992   1,541,614,976     149,240,000         104,000     173,960,000     166,274,000
Debt repayment                                -1,380,100,992  -1,538,627,968     -32,105,000        -238,000     -76,999,000     -79,041,000
Preferred stock repaid                                     0               0      -3,562,000               0               0               0
Common stock repurchased                          -3,074,000        -282,000        -529,000     -24,350,000     -51,474,000     -46,601,000
Dividend paid                                     -3,155,000      -1,291,000         -40,000               0               0               0
Other financing activities                        57,910,000        -228,000     -18,210,000      -2,790,000      12,687,000         262,000
Net cash provided by (used for) financing          3,137,000       1,186,000      94,794,000     -27,274,000      58,174,000      40,894,000

Effect of exchange rate changes                            0               0               0      -1,399,000        -583,000        -892,000
Net change in cash                                33,210,000      86,442,000     -89,711,000     -16,435,000      69,129,000     -81,817,000
Cash at beginning of period                       33,575,000      66,785,000     153,227,008      63,516,000      47,081,000     164,052,000
Cash at end of period                             66,785,000     153,227,008      63,516,000      47,081,000     116,210,000      82,235,000

Free Cash Flow
Operating cash flow                               44,619,000     139,644,992      32,528,000      80,160,000      75,303,000     -66,007,000
Capital expenditure                              -12,654,000     -39,053,000     -60,163,000     -64,477,000     -60,705,000     -62,571,000
Free cash flow                                    31,965,000     100,592,000     -27,635,000      15,683,000      14,598,000    -128,578,000
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________



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Average to Current P/E Ratios
              (REGI)     Renewable Energy Group Inc.

                               2012    2013    2014    2015    2016

          Annual Earnings:     0.27    5.00    1.99   -3.44    1.06
Average Price During Year:     7.56   11.37   11.06    9.27    8.75

                P/E Ratio:    27.98    2.27    5.56    2.69    8.25

 Average 5-Year P/E Ratio  =   9.35
             Current Price =  12

Previous 5 Quarter Earnings:   0.04    0.16    0.59    0.51   -0.41

           Current Annualized (Last Four Quarters) Earnings =  .6899999
                                                           ________
                                 Average PE / Current PE =     0.54
                                                           --------

                                      ...a number above 1.00 is good
                                                1.00 or below is bad


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Financial Ratios

. . . . . . . . . . . . 1 = Highest , 10 = Lowest



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Market Edge

900
901



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Intrinsic Value (DCF)

Intrinsic Value by Discounted Cash Flow Method:

Intrinsic Value



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Book Value

Tangible Book Value:

Book Value



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Projected Earnings

Earnings Estimates
Earnings Estimates



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Research Reports

Click Here for Research Reports



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Analysts' Opinions

Analysts' Opinion 1
Analysts' Opinion 1
Analysts' Opinion 1
Analysts' Opinion 1
Analysts' Opinion 2



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Insider Activity

Insiders Chart Insider Trades
Insider Trades
Executive Compensation Executive Compensation



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Institutional Activity

Institutional Orders to Buy or Sell:

institutions 1
Ownership:

institutions 2


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Sentiment

sentiment

Zenith uses the "sentiment" score above or below 50 to award a positive or negative point in the Decision Matrix.

sentiment sentiment sentiment



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Short Interest Ratio

As the short interest rises as a percentage of average daily share volume (Days to Cover), this is considered a measure of negative sentiment. Similarly, a decrease in that percentage is considered positive sentiment.

short interest short interest


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Standard & Poor's

S&P Stock Report (Requires Adobe Acrobat Reader)



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Management's Discussion of Results of Operations Excerpts

Click Here for Management's Discussion Excerpts



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Moving Average Chart



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Right Time Study



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Channeling Potential

 
The summary below includes a value for `Degree,' which refers on a
scale of 1 to 10 the range of a channel in the period under consi-
deration compared to the total range of price movement. It also looks
for the last closing price to be within the channel, otherwise zeroed.
The `Index' is the `Degree' weighted for volatility.  Generally, the
the higher the index, the more suitable is the stock for trading as
a `rolling stock' between channel high and low points.

Results for RENEWABLE ENERGY GROUP:
Symbol? REGI
Total Months Available:  66
       Months in Cycle?   4

Months Covered by Periods:  12

Period 1           Period 2          Period 3
   H1      L1        H2      L2        H3      L3
  10.00    7.94     10.60    8.25     13.39    9.82

RANGE   =  13.39  TO    7.94            Close =  12.70
CHANNEL =  10.00  TO    9.82           Degree =   0
Volatility =   1.38%                    Index =   0
Channel Chart



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MACD Histogram Divergence

The theory is that connecting the two most recent peaks or valleys of the MACD histogram will signal the direction of the next major move.



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Intraday Chart

2 Days:



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Val Idea

3 out of 8 favorable, (negative opinion.)

Val Idea H


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Stock Consultant

Stock Consultant Stock Consultant



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Point & Figure Chart

P & F Chart


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Wall Street Analyzer




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Marketspace Chart

Marketspace Chart



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Time Series Forecast

Time Series 1 Time Series 2


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Neural Network Prediction

"Neurostock" can only track long trades. Therefore its performance, as tracked by itself on stocks which are consistently falling, may not appear as good as it could if each "sell" signal were a "short sale."

Neural Chart
Heading
Neural Trades Neural Prediction



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Ultimate Trading Systems

2 out of 3 of the ultimate systems favor an upmove.


System Below:
Short term outlook: Positive: Bright Green, Negative: Bright Red
Long term outlook: Postive: Dark Green, Negative: Dark Red.




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Recommendation

Decision Weighting Factors
FactorsWeighted Points
News - 1
Comparison 1
Industry - 1
Bond Issue + 1
Zenith Index + 1
Non-GAAP vs. GAAP Earnings + 1
Cash Flow - 1
Average to Current P/E - 1
Ratios + 1
Market Edge + 1
Intrinsic Value DCF + 1
Tangible Book Value + 1
Projected Earnings + 1
Research Reports - 1
Analysts + 1
Executive Perquisites + 1
Insider Activity - 1
Institutional Activity + 1
Management Reporting + 1
Short Interest - 1
Sentiment + 1
Standard & Poor's - 1
Moving Average - 1
Right Time Study + 1
MACD Histogram Divergence + 1
Val Idea - 1
Stock Consultant + 1
Point & Figure + 1
Wall Street Analyzer - 1
Marketspace Chart + 1
Time Series Chart - 1
Neural Network - 1
Stock Options + 1
Ultimate Trading Systems + 1
Total + 7
Place 2,500 shares of Renewable Energy Group, Inc.(REGI) on the Active List.