07-21-2019: Paysign, Inc. (PAYS): Financial Transaction Services Group Soars

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Recommendation

Paysign, Inc.

Paysign Inc. (PAYS) is in the financial transaction services industry group which has been a leading performer for many similar stocks of late. It provides prepaid charge card and processing services working with partners like VISA, encouraging people to use their charge cards. It offers innovative services related to rebate programs, reloadable cards, incentive programs, targeting prepaid and private label card issuers.

The stock of PAYS is off the charts with a huge gain in recent months. Although researchers and analysts are generally favorable, this has prompted at least one recently to issue a warning that the stock rise is due more to chart action attracting traders than to fundamentals. However, the stock has a very strong Zenith Index, perhaps due more than anything to the fact that this company has no debt.

News and opinions on this stock are limited by the fact that when a company changes its name and ticker symbol, not once, but often, it confuses the standard resources upon which others rely. This company very recently changed its name from 3PEA International, Inc. to Paysign, Inc. We did not feel it was worth the effort to go after previous news under its previous ticker symbol because news is sparse and limited on this corporation as are researchers and analysts willing to dabble in it.

What is drawing the most attention to PAYS is an explosion in revenues which is not matched by an explosion in earnings. Although it has a strong profit margin, it may be inefficient in use of its resources according to one analyst. We feel that when you "give stuff away" to attract a large amount of business, revenues are not matched by earnings power.

Because the stock rise appears to us to be largely "technical", we feel this stock is very vulnerable to a correction. Short interest is way up on the stock, which means a "short squeeze" could push it even higher, but also means many traders agree about the vulnerability.

This appears to be a well-run company with somewhat of a deficit of easily-obtainable information on insider workings, no glitzy annual report nor any CEO Letter to Shareholders, relying instead as do most American corporations on conference calls. It pays no dividend, and growth appears to be the key to its future. In that regard, it has a lot of competitors.




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Zenith Index

Under current market conditions, a Zenith Index Score of 1.20 or above is required for a positive rating on this factor. 1.21 -1.30 is considered acceptable, 1.30-1.40 is considered strong and
> 1.40 is considered exceptionally strong. Accounting statements in this section often contain mistakes, especially in earlier years' totals, but data is deemed sufficient for us to give a rating. More accurate financial statements follow in the next section.

PaySign, Inc. (PAYS)                                      Exchange: Nasdaq
1700 West Horizon Ridge Parkway
Suite 102                        Sector: Industrials
Henderson, NV 89012              Industry: Business Services

PaySign, Inc. provides prepaid card programs and processing services
under the PaySign brand to corporations, government agencies,
universities, and other organizations. The company offers various
services, including transaction processing, cardholder enrollment, value
loading, cardholder account management, reporting, and customer service
through PaySign, a proprietary card-processing platform. It also
develops prepaid card products for healthcare reimbursement payments,
pharmaceutical assistance, donor compensation, corporate and incentive
rewards, and expense reimbursement cards; and payroll or general purpose
reloadable cards, as well as gift or incentive cards. In addition, the
company offers Buy and Bill programs for patients to purchase directly
from physician's office or through an infusion center for physician
administered therapies; payment solution for source plasma collection
centers; and PaySign Premier, a demand deposit account debit card, as
well as customer service center and PaySign Communications Suite
services. Its principal target markets for processing services comprise
prepaid card issuers, retail and private-label issuers, small
third-party processors, and small and mid-size financial institutions in
the United States and internationally. The company was formerly known as
3PEA International, Inc. and changed its name to PaySign, Inc. in April
2019. PaySign, Inc. was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Henderson,
Nevada.

Last Trade:  16.77                           52-Week Range:  17.70 -   2.41
Employees: 64                                Avg.Volume:     958,829 Shares

Corporate Governance:
Pillar scores are Audit: N/A; Board: N/A; Shareholder Rights: N/A;
         (A lower number means less governance risk.)

EPS:  0.06    Dividend Amount: $ 0.00          Yield:  0.00%
             Ex-Dividend Date: N/A             Payout Ratio:   0.00

Key Statistics:

    Trailing P/E: 290.00              Forward P/E (est.):  51.18
                                           Target Price:  13.38

Qrtly Stock Price Growth (yoy): 598.75%               Beta:   0.00
Qrtly S&P Index   Growth (yoy):   0.00%        Short Ratio:   2.20%
    Qrtly Revenue Growth (yoy):   6.00%         Shares Out:  43670000
   Qrtly Earnings Growth (yoy):   0.00%

          Book Value:   0.00                    Debt/Equity:   0.00%
    Price/Book Value:  75.98        Operating Profit Margin:   0.00%
         Price/Sales:  31.60                  Profit Margin:   0.00%
         Market Cap:     821,835,000       Return on Equity:   0.00%
    Enterprise Value:     781,570,000      Return on Assets:   0.00%

    Operating Cash Flow:         15,996
         Free Cash Flow:         14,301



Annual Income Statement:                          (All numbers in thousands)
  Period Ending                             12/31/2018  12/31/2017  12/31/2016

  Total Revenue                                 23,424      15,234      10,417
  Cost of Revenue                               12,026       8,534       5,879
  Gross Profit                                  11,397       6,700       4,537

Operating Expenses:
  Research & Development                             0           0           0
  Selling, General & Administrative              7,835       4,056       2,607
  Non-Recurring Expenses                             0           0           0
  Other Operating Expenses                           0           0           0
  Total Operating Expenses                      20,951      13,466       9,058

Operating Income or Loss                         2,473       1,768       1,359

Income from Continuing Operations:
  Total Other Income/Expenses Net                  109          24         -61
  Earnings Before Interest & Taxes               2,473       1,768       1,359
  Interest Expense                                   0         -32         -77
  Income Before Taxes                            2,581       1,792       1,298
  Income Tax Expense                                 0           6           0
  Minority Interest                               -207        -200        -195

Net Income from Continuing Op.s                  2,581       1,786       1,298

Non-recurring Events:
  Discontinued Operations                            0           0           0
  Extraordinary Items                                0           0           0
  Effect of Accounting Changes                       0           0           0
  Other Items                                        0           0           0
  Net Income                                     2,588       1,791       1,401
  Preferred Stock & Other Adjustments                0           0           0

Net Income Avail to Common Shares                2,588       1,791       1,401



Annual Cash Flow Statement:                   (All numbers in thousands)
  Period Ending                         12/31/2018    12/31/2017    12/31/2016

  Net Income                                 2,581         1,786         1,298

Operating Activities:
  Depreciation                               1,090           876           572
  Adjustments to Net Income                  1,360           303           -10
  Changes in Accounts Recv'bls                -172           -55           -94
  Changes in Liabilities                       182           379           416
  Changes in Investories                         0             0             0
  Changes in other Oper'g Acts              10,948         3,857         1,920

Total Cash Flow f Operations                15,996             0         4,205

Investing Activities:
  Capital Exenditures                         -257          -707          -110
  Investments                                    0             0             0
  Other Cash Flows fr Investing                  0             0             0

Total Cash Flows from Investing             -1,595             0          -887

Financing Activities:
  Dividends Paid                                 0             0             0
  Sale of Purchase of Stock                      0             0             0
  Net Borrowings                                 0          -152          -137
  Other Cash Flows fr Financing                  0             0             0

Total Cash Flows from Financing                100          -102          -137

  Effect of Exchange Rate Chg                    0             0             0

Change in Cash & Cash Equiv.                14,501         5,530         3,181



Annual Balance Sheets:                              (All Numbers in Thousands)
  Period Ending                          12/31/2018    12/31/2017    12/31/2016
Current Assets:
  Cash & Cash Equivalents                     5,615         2,748         1,632
  Short Term Investments                          0             0             0
  Net Receivables                               337           166           110
  Inventory                                       0             0             0
  Other Current Assets                       26,051        14,416        10,003
  Total Current Assets                       32,003        17,330        11,745

  Long-Term Investments                           0             0             0
  Property, Plant & Equipt                      883           854           301
  Goodwill                                        0             0             0
  Intangible Assets                           2,116         1,640         1,550
  Accumulated Amortization                        0             0             0
  Other Assets                                    0             6             6
  Deferred LT Asset Charges                       0             0             0

Total Assets                                 36,178        20,403        13,872

Current Liabilities:
  Accounts Payable                            1,327         1,145           766
  Current Portion LT Debt                         0             0            22
  Other Current Liabilities                  25,961        14,416        10,257
  Total Current Liabilities                  27,288        15,562         11,147

  Long Term Debt                                  0             0            28
  Other Liabilities                               0             0             0
  Deferred LT Liab. Charges                       0             0             0
  Minority Interest                            -207          -200          -195
  Negative Goodwill                               0             0             0

Total Liabilities                            27,288        15,562        11,175

Stockholder Equity:  Misc. Options, Warrants                         0             0             0
  Redeemable Preferred Stock                      0             0             0
  Preferred Stock                                 0             0             0
  Common Stock                                   46            44            43
  Retained Earnings                             580        -2,008        -3,800
  Treasury Stock                               -150          -150          -150
  Capital Surplus                             8,620         7,156         6,798
  Other Stockhohlder Equity                       0             0             0
  Total Stockholder Equity                    9,096         5,041         2,891

Net Tangible Assets                           6,980         3,402         1,341


PaySign, Inc. (PAYS)                        [Indices near +3.0, near zero,
                                            or < zero bear special attention.]
P/E Ratio Tests:
P/E Ratio < 28?            0.0966          P/E Ratio > 5?             1.0000
P/E Ratio Vs Growth Rate:  0.0000          Forward P/E Ratio < 28?    0.5471
Price/Sales Ratio < 2.3?   0.0728          Inventory/Sales < 5%?      1.0000
Sales < $1 Billion?        3.0000          Operating Margin < 7.5%?   0.0000

Balance Sheet Tests:
Debt/Equity < 0.40?        1.0000          Long-Term Debt Service:    3.0000
LTD Being Reduced?         0.0000          Short-Term Debt Service:   3.0000
Current Ratio > 2?         0.5864          Working Capital >= 1.5?    1.2961
Leverage Ratio < 20%?      3.0000          Debt/Assets < 1?           3.0000
Quick Ratio > 1?           3.0000          Inventory Turnover > 1?    1.0000
Share Equity Increase:     3.0000          Market Cap.< 1.5 Billion?  1.8252
                                           Intangibles < 3% Assets?   0.5129
Income Tests:
Profit Margin < 7.5%?      0.0000          EPS Annual Growth > 10%?   0.0692
Dividend Yield > 2.0%?     0.0000          EPS 3-yr Growth > 15?      0.0812
Enterprise Value/Revenue   3.0000          EPS Growth Consistent?     2.0000
Enterprise Value/EBITDA:   3.0000          Collection < 45 days?      3.0000
EPS Qrtly Growth > 10%?    0.0000          Gross Pft/Cur. LTD > 1?    3.0000
                                           Borrowing Int. Rate < 6%?  3.0000
Stock Performance Tests:
Volatility > 25%?          3.0000          % Held by Insiders < 5%?   1.1494
Beta > 1.25?               0.0000          % Held by Institut. < 50?  0.5928
50 Da MA > 200 Da MA?      0.7728          % Held by Institut. > 30?  2.8117
52-Wk Change vs. S&P 500:  3.0000          Short Ratio > 5?           0.4400
Price/Book Value < 3?      3.0000          Short % of Float > 20?     0.4240
Return on Assets > 17%?    0.0000          Average Volume > 100,000?  3.0000

Cash Flow Tests:
Oper. C.F. > Lever'd C.F:  1.1185          Positive Free Cash Flow?   3.0000
Positive Oper. Cash Flow?  3.0000          Price to C.F.Ratio < 14?:  0.3014
                                           Cash Flow / Assets > 10%?  3.0000

PAYS   PaySign, Inc.                       Overall Zenith Index:      1.5449


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Financial Statements

PAYSIGN INC  (PAYS)                         INCOME STATEMENT

Fiscal year ends in December.                        2014-12         2015-12         2016-12         2017-12         2018-12             TTM           

Revenue                                            5,496,950       4,042,344       5,142,195       6,723,737      23,423,676      26,103,218
Cost of revenue                                            0               0               0               0      12,026,452               0
Gross profit                                       5,496,950       4,042,344       5,142,195       6,723,737      11,397,223      26,103,218


Operating expenses
Sales, General and administrative                  2,715,316       3,734,187       3,288,373       4,055,836       7,835,074      10,009,930
Other operating expenses                          -2,715,316      -3,734,187      -3,288,373      -4,055,836       1,089,521     -10,009,930
Total operating expenses                                   0               0               0               0       8,924,595               0

Operating income                                   5,496,950       4,042,344       5,142,195       6,723,737       2,472,628      26,103,218
Interest Expense                                     141,515          45,683          77,107          31,623               0               0
Other income (expense)                            -2,745,395      -6,546,238      -3,767,437      -4,900,404         108,613     -23,077,012
Income before taxes                                2,610,040      -2,549,577       1,297,651       1,791,710       2,581,241       3,026,205
Provision for income taxes                                 0               0               0           6,000               0         -15,490
Net income from continuing operations              2,610,040      -2,549,577       1,297,651       1,785,710       2,581,241       3,041,695
Other                                                    444         139,240         103,148           5,431           6,813           5,482
Net income                                         2,610,484      -2,410,337       1,400,799       1,791,141       2,588,054       3,047,177
Net income available to common shareholders        2,610,484      -2,410,337       1,400,799       1,791,141       2,588,054       3,047,177

Earnings per share
Basic                                                   0.07           -0.06            0.03            0.04            0.06            0.07 
Diluted                                                 0.06           -0.06            0.03            0.04            0.05            0.06 

Weighted average shares outstanding
Basic                                             38,808,084      39,641,176      42,875,520      43,397,476      45,483,692      45,976,272
Diluted                                           42,405,848      39,641,176      43,867,228      44,934,976      52,347,736      53,254,752

____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


PAYSIGN INC  (PAYS)                         BALANCE SHEET

Fiscal year ends in December.                        2014-12         2015-12         2016-12         2017-12         2018-12             

Assets

Current assets

Cash

Total cash                                         3,891,419       1,393,045       1,637,494       2,753,864       5,615,073

Receivables                                           86,658          16,742         110,269         165,523         337,303
Prepaid expenses                                     214,502         254,225         270,634         572,789       1,175,241
Other current assets                              -4,192,579      -1,664,012      -2,018,397      -3,492,176      26,050,668
Total current assets                                       0               0               0               0      33,178,284

Non-current assets

Property, plant and equipment
Gross property, plant and equipment                  758,723         897,055       1,006,920       1,714,142       1,970,798
Accumulated Depreciation                            -551,794        -625,088        -706,159        -859,740      -1,087,308
Net property, plant and equipment                    206,929         271,967         300,761         854,402         883,490

Intangible assets                                    765,719       1,264,151       1,550,044       1,639,557       2,115,933
Other long-term assets                              -972,648      -1,536,118      -1,850,805      -2,493,959               0
Total non-current assets                                   0               0               0               0       2,999,423

Total assets                                               0               0               0               0      36,177,708 

Liabilities and stockholders' equity

Liabilities

Current liabilities
Short-term debt                                      325,446         174,098         124,168               0               0
Accounts payable                                           0       1,254,658         254,900               0               0
Accrued liabilities                                  680,159         465,318         765,596               0               0
Other current liabilities                         -1,005,605      -1,894,074      -1,144,664               0      27,288,472
Total current liabilities                                  0               0               0               0      27,288,472

Non-current liabilities
Long-term debt                                       100,000               0          27,892               0               0
Minority interest                                     47,702         -91,538        -194,686        -200,117        -206,930
Other long-term liabilities                         -100,000               0         -27,892               0               0
Total non-current liabilities                         47,702         -91,538        -194,686        -200,117        -206,930

Total liabilities                                     47,702         -91,538        -194,686        -200,117      27,081,540 

Stockholders' equity

Common stock                                          36,669          42,511          43,186          43,671          46,441
Additional paid-in capital                         5,634,886       6,579,508       6,726,173       7,155,970       8,620,144
Retained earnings                                          0      -5,200,412      -3,799,613      -2,008,472         579,582
Treasury stock                                      -150,000        -150,000        -150,000        -150,000        -150,000
Accumulated other comprehensive income            -2,790,075               0               0               0               0
Total stockholders' equity                         2,731,480       1,271,607       2,819,746       5,041,169       9,096,167
Total liabilities and stockholders' equity         2,779,182       1,180,069       2,625,060       4,841,052      36,177,708

____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


PAYSIGN INC  (PAYS)                         Statement of CASH FLOW

Fiscal year ends in December. USD.                   2014-12         2015-12         2016-12         2017-12         2018-12             TTM           

Cash Flows From Operating Activities
Net income                                         2,610,484      -2,410,337       1,400,799       1,791,141       2,588,054       3,047,177
Depreciation & amortization                          171,594         362,712         572,320         876,191       1,089,521       1,177,244
Stock based compensation                             600,641         202,550          92,939         308,696       1,366,944       1,876,253
Change in working capital                           -299,740       1,276,148        -696,190       4,181,117      10,958,263      28,251,024
Accounts receivable                                  291,055          69,916         -93,527         -55,254        -171,780        -503,151
Prepaid expenses                                      13,346         -44,723         -16,409        -302,155        -596,901         -74,836
Accrued liabilities                                        0        -130,590         415,504         379,487               0               0
Other working capital                               -604,141       1,381,545      -1,001,758       4,159,039      11,726,944      28,829,012
Other non-cash items                                    -444        -150,577        -103,145          -5,431          -6,813          -5,482
Net cash provided by operating activities          3,082,535        -719,504       1,266,723       7,151,714      15,995,969      34,346,216

Cash Flows From Investing Activities
Investments in property, plant, and equipmen        -140,853        -138,332        -109,865        -707,224        -257,062        -399,312
Purchases of intangibles                            -387,059        -787,850        -777,144        -812,121      -1,337,923               0
Other investing activities                                 0               0               0               0               0      -1,402,555
Net cash used for investing activities              -527,912        -926,182        -887,009      -1,519,345      -1,594,985      -1,801,867

Cash Flows From Financing Activities
Debt issued                                          817,890               0          44,753               0               0               0
Debt repayment                                      -512,784        -851,788        -182,018        -152,060               0               0
Other financing activities                                 0               0               0          50,000         100,000               0
Net cash provided by (used for) financing            305,106        -851,788        -137,265        -102,060         100,000               0

Net change in cash                                 2,859,729      -2,497,474         242,449       5,530,309      14,500,984      32,544,350
Cash at beginning of period                        1,027,239       3,886,968       1,389,494      11,634,448      17,164,756      18,494,948
Cash at end of period                              3,886,968       1,389,494       1,631,943      17,164,756      31,665,740      51,039,296

Free Cash Flow
Operating cash flow                                3,082,535        -719,504       1,266,723       7,151,714      15,995,969      34,346,216
Capital expenditure                                 -527,912        -926,182        -887,009      -1,519,345      -1,594,985      -1,801,867
Free cash flow                                     2,554,623      -1,645,686         379,714       5,632,369      14,400,984      32,544,350
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________





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Average to Current P/E Ratios
              (PAYS)     Paysign Inc.

                               2014    2015    2016    2017    2018

          Annual Earnings:     0.06   -0.06    0.03    0.04    0.05
Average Price During Year:     0.22    0.39    0.31    0.79    4.11

                P/E Ratio:     3.68    6.42   10.36   19.81   82.12

 Average 5-Year P/E Ratio  =  24.48
             Current Price =  17.34

Previous 5 Quarter Earnings:   0.01    0.02    0.02    0.01    0.02

          Current Annualized (Last Four Quarters) Earnings =   0.05
                                                           ________
                                 Average PE / Current PE =     0.07
                                                           --------

                                      ...a number above 1.00 is good
                                                1.00 or below is bad


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Sentiment

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Channeling Potential

 
The summary below includes a value for `Degree,' which refers on a
scale of 1 to 10 the range of a channel in the period under consi-
deration compared to the total range of price movement. It also looks
for the last closing price to be within the channel, otherwise zeroed.
The `Index' is the `Degree' weighted for volatility.  Generally, the
the higher the index, the more suitable is the stock for trading as
a `rolling stock' between channel high and low points.

Results for PAYSIGN INC.:
Symbol? PAYS
Total Months Available:  77
       Months in Cycle?   4

Months Covered by Periods:  12

Period 1           Period 2          Period 3
   H1      L1        H2      L2        H3      L3
   5.33    2.40      8.49    3.15     17.70    6.80

RANGE   =  17.70  TO    2.40            Close =  17.34
CHANNEL =   6.80  TO    5.33           Degree =   1
Volatility =   8.48%                    Index =   0
Channel Chart



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MACD Histogram Divergence

The theory is that connecting the two most recent peaks or valleys of the MACD histogram will signal the direction of the next major move.



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2 Days:



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Val Idea

4 out of 8 favorable, (neutral opinion.)

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Neural Network Prediction

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2 out of 3 of the ultimate systems favor an upmove.


System Below:
Short term outlook: Positive: Bright Green, Negative: Bright Red
Long term outlook: Postive: Dark Green, Negative: Dark Red.




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Recommendation

Decision Weighting Factors
FactorsWeighted Points
News + 1
Comparison - 1
Industry + 1
Bond Issue 0
Zenith Index + 1
Non-GAAP vs. GAAP Earnings - 1
Cash Flow + 1
Average to Current P/E - 1
Ratios - 1
Intrinsic Value DCF 0
Fair Value Estimator - 1
Projected Earnings + 1
Research Reports + 1
Analysts + 1
Executive Perquisites + 1
Insider Activity + 1
Institutional Activity + 1
Management Reporting + 1
Short Interest - 1
Sentiment + 1
Standard & Poor's + 1
MACD Histogram Divergence + 1
Val Idea - 1
Stock Consultant - 1
Point & Figure + 1
Wall Street Analyzer - 1
Marketspace Chart + 1
Time Series Chart - 1
Neural Network + 1
Stock Options + 1
Ultimate Trading Systems + 1
Total + 9
Place 1,715 shares of Paysign, Inc. (PAYS) on the Active List.