02-03-2018: Nautilus Inc. (NLS): Sales Anticipated by Management to Lag

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Recommendation

Nautilus Inc.

Nautilus is a prominent maker of exercise equipment.

Shares of fitness company Nautilus, Inc. (NYSE: NLS) plunged as much as 23.9% on October 31st, after it reported third-quarter earnings. Profits beat estimates, but management lowered full-year guidance, and that's why shares dropped.

Third-quarter revenue was up 9% versus a year ago to $88.1 million as retail sales jumped 15.8% to $53.5 million. Operating income was up 62.8% to $13.4 million and income from continuing operations was $8.3 million, or $0.27 per share. That easily surpassed the $0.23 in earnings that analysts expected. But that's the end of the good news.

Management said the holiday season may not be as strong as previously anticipated and lowered revenue guidance to $405 million-$410 million, or about flat versus a year ago. Operating income is expected to fall 13% to 18% to $44 million-$46 million. Both revenue and operating income were expected to rise 5% to 7% in 2017 as recently as one quarter ago.

The new Bowflex HVT product isn't living up to expectations, which is a drag on results with declining TreadClimber sales. And until management figures out how to market the product directly to customers, its likely sales will lag expectations. Given the uncertainty around growth and the adoption of Bowflex HVT, a discount worth may not be worth jumping on today, especially if increased marketing spending is going to crush margins for the foreseeable future.

With the bad news set out, there's a lot of good stuff to look at in this stock. We could start with Standard & Poor's giving the stock its highest five-star rating. Market Grader agrees as the stock performs well in fundamental analysis. Management gives good reporting, although we are lacking a glitzy annual report or any CEO Letter to Shareholders, indicating a lack of concern there. The stock pays no dividend. Its strong fundamentals are confirmed by the Zenith Index. Institutions are still net acquirers and Dimensional Fund Advisors is prominent among them.

This company does a lot of business through internet commerce selling direct to individuals. One problem we see here is that people living in a normal sized house often have to place equipment in a bedroom or even dining room/kitchen where large sized equipment presents a space gobbling problem. Gym membership is a competing alternative, although this company also sells to gyms.

The financial ratios are really the story on this "consumer discretionary" stock awaiting improving global economy to pick up sales throughout many parts of the world including Europe and the former British Commonwealth countries. These areas are reported to be lagging in fitness tests. 



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Zenith Index

Under current market conditions, a Zenith Index Score of 1.20 or above is required for a positive rating on this factor. 1.21 -1.30 is considered acceptable, 1.30-1.40 is considered strong and
> 1.40 is considered exceptionally strong. Accounting statements in this section often contain mistakes, especially in earlier years' totals, but data is deemed sufficient for us to give a rating. More accurate financial statements follow in the next section.

Nautilus, Inc. (NLS)                                      Exchange: NYSE
17750 S.E. 6th Way
Vancouver, WA 98683              Sector: Consumer Goods
United States                    Industry:Sporting Goods

Nautilus, Inc., a consumer fitness products company, designs, develops,
sources, and markets cardio and strength fitness products, and related
accessories for consumer use in the United States, Canada, and
internationally. The company operates in two segments, Direct and
Retail. It offers specialized cardio machines, exercise bikes,
treadmills, home gyms, dumbbells, elliptical machines, kettlebell
weights, and weight benches primarily under the Nautilus, Bowflex,
Octane Fitness, Schwinn, and Universal brand names. In addition, it
engages in licensing its brands and intellectual properties. The company
offers its products directly to consumers through television
advertising, catalogs, and the Internet; and through a network of retail
companies consisting of sporting goods stores, Internet retailers, and
large-format and warehouse stores, as well as specialty retailers and
independent bike dealers. Nautilus, Inc. was founded in 1986 and is
headquartered in Vancouver, Washington.

Last Trade:  12.85                           52-Week Range:  19.80 -  12.25
Employees: 469                               Avg.Volume:     387,829 Shares

Corporate Governance:
Pllar scores are Audit: 1; Board: 3; Shareholder Rights: 2; Compensation: 6.
         (A lower number means less governance risk.)

EPS:  0.94    Dividend Amount: $%203.00          Yield:  0.00%
             Ex-Dividend Date: Aug 16, 2007    Payout Ratio:   0.00

Key Statistics:

    Trailing P/E:  13.65              Forward P/E (est.):  11.74
                                           Target Price:  18.39

Qrtly Stock Price Growth (yoy): -22.36%               Beta:   1.37
Qrtly S&P Index   Growth (yoy):   9.00%        Short Ratio:   5.83%
    Qrtly Revenue Growth (yoy):  23.81%         Shares Out:  30710000
   Qrtly Earnings Growth (yoy):   0.00%

          Book Value:   5.75                    Debt/Equity:  29.45%
    Price/Book Value:   2.23        Operating Profit Margin:  12.00%
         Price/Sales:   0.97                  Profit Margin:   7.28%
         Market Cap:     393,051,000       Return on Equity:  18.82%
    Enterprise Value:     368,620,000      Return on Assets:   9.64%

    Operating Cash Flow:     47,640,000
         Free Cash Flow:     42,120,000



Annual Income Statement:                          (All numbers in thousands)
  Period Ending                             12/31/2016  12/31/2015  12/31/2014

  Total Revenue                                406,039     335,764     274,447
  Cost of Revenue                              194,514     162,530     133,872
  Gross Profit                                 211,525     173,234     140,575

Operating Expenses:
  Research & Development                             0           0           0
  Selling, General & Administrative            144,212     123,059     103,190
  Non-Recurring Expenses                             0           0           0
  Other Operating Expenses                           0           0           0
  Total Operating Expenses                           0           0           0

Operating Income or Loss                        53,394      40,271      30,154

Income from Continuing Operations:
  Total Other Income/Expenses Net                  115        -227          95
  Earnings Before Interest & Taxes              53,509      40,044      30,249
  Interest Expense                               1,928          22          25
  Income Before Taxes                           51,581      40,022      30,224
  Income Tax Expense                            16,480      13,219       9,841
  Minority Interest                                  0           0           0

Net Income from Continuing Op.s                 35,101      26,803      20,383

Non-recurring Events:
  Discontinued Operations                         -923        -201      -1,588
  Extraordinary Items                                0           0           0
  Effect of Accounting Changes                       0           0           0
  Other Items                                        0           0           0
  Net Income                                    34,178      26,602      18,795
  Preferred Stock & Other Adjustments                0           0           0

Net Income Avail to Common Shares               34,178      26,602      18,795



Annual Cash Flow Statement:                   (All numbers in thousands)
  Period Ending                         12/31/2016    12/31/2015    12/31/2014

  Net Income                                35,101        26,803        20,383

Operating Activities:
  Depreciation                               7,874         3,412         4,024
  Adjustments to Net Income                 10,029        15,606         8,371
  Changes in Accounts Recv'bls                -694        -6,812        -1,331
  Changes in Liabilities                       858         8,282        12,769
  Changes in Investories                    -3,110        -7,147        -9,560
  Changes in other Oper'g Acts              -4,207           976          -284

Total Cash Flow f Operations                45,851        41,120        34,372

Investing Activities:
  Capital Exenditures                       -4,656        -5,734        -3,181
  Investments                               -1,745        -3,039       -26,984
  Other Cash Flows fr Investing             -3,468      -114,062      -114,062

Total Cash Flows from Investing             -9,869      -122,835       -30,165

Financing Activities:
  Dividends Paid                                 0             0             0
  Sale of Purchase of Stock                 -4,653       -10,401           378
  Net Borrowings                           -16,000        80,000        80,000
  Other Cash Flows fr Financing               -239          -775      -114,062

Total Cash Flows from Financing            -19,035        68,852           198

  Effect of Exchange Rate Chg                  149        -1,565          -178

Change in Cash & Cash Equiv.                17,096       -14,428         4,227



Annual Balance Sheets:                              (All Numbers in Thousands)
  Period Ending                          12/31/2016    12/31/2015    12/31/2014
Current Assets:
  Cash & Cash Equivalents                    47,874        30,778        45,206
  Short Term Investments                     31,743        29,998        26,984
  Net Receivables                            48,689        54,498        38,678
  Inventory                                  47,030        42,729        24,896
  Other Current Assets                        8,020         6,888         6,987
  Total Current Assets                      246,842       134,893       115,767

  Long-Term Investments                           0             0             0
  Property, Plant & Equipt                   17,468        16,764         9,634
  Goodwill                                   61,888        60,470         2,520
  Intangible Assets                          69,800        73,354        10,575
  Accumulated Amortization                        0             0             0
  Other Assets                                  543           433           628
  Deferred LT Asset Charges                      11             0         9,546

Total Assets                                333,066       315,912       175,654

Current Liabilities:
  Accounts Payable                           78,912        74,772        57,425
  Current Portion LT Debt                    15,993        15,993             0
  Other Current Liabilities                   3,500         4,753         2,246
  Total Current Liabilities                  98,405        95,518         59,671

  Long Term Debt                             78,912        74,772        57,425
  Other Liabilities                          15,993        15,993             0
  Deferred LT Liab. Charges                   3,500         4,753         2,246
  Minority Interest                               0             0             0
  Negative Goodwill                               0             0             0

Total Liabilities                           173,598       170,541        64,582

Stockholder Equity:
  Misc. Options, Warrants                         0             0             0
  Redeemable Preferred Stock                      0             0             0
  Preferred Stock                                 0             0             0
  Common Stock                                  578           796         8,033
  Retained Earnings                         161,496       127,522       103,347
  Treasury Stock                                  0             0             0
  Capital Surplus                                 0             0             0
  Other Stockhohlder Equity                  -1,217        -1,327          -308
  Total Stockholder Equity                  160,857       126,991       111,072

Net Tangible Assets                          29,169        -6,833        97,977


Nautilus, Inc. (NLS)                        [Indices near +3.0, near zero,
                                            or < zero bear special attention.]
P/E Ratio Tests:
P/E Ratio < 28?            2.0513          P/E Ratio > 5?             1.0000
P/E Ratio Vs Growth Rate:  0.0000          Forward P/E Ratio < 28?    2.3850
Price/Sales Ratio < 2.3?   2.3711          Inventory/Sales < 5%?      0.4317
Sales < $1 Billion?        2.4628          Operating Margin < 7.5%?   0.6250

Balance Sheet Tests:
Debt/Equity < 0.40?        1.3582          Long-Term Debt Service:    3.0000
LTD Being Reduced?         0.0000          Short-Term Debt Service:   3.0000
Current Ratio > 2?         1.2542          Working Capital >= 1.5?    0.6060
Leverage Ratio < 20%?      1.0290          Debt/Assets < 1?           3.0000
Quick Ratio > 1?           3.0000          Inventory Turnover > 1?    0.3261
Share Equity Increase:     2.4100          Market Cap.< 1.5 Billion?  3.0000
                                           Intangibles < 3% Assets?   0.0759
Income Tests:
Profit Margin < 7.5%?      0.9706          EPS Annual Growth > 10%?   0.0778
Dividend Yield > 2.0%?     0.0000          EPS 3-yr Growth > 15?      0.0825
Enterprise Value/Revenue   0.9680          EPS Growth Consistent?     2.0000
Enterprise Value/EBITDA:   3.0000          Collection < 45 days?      1.0282
EPS Qrtly Growth > 10%?    0.0000          Gross Pft/Cur. LTD > 1?    3.0000
                                           Borrowing Int. Rate < 6%?  1.4931
Stock Performance Tests:
Volatility > 25%?          1.5253          % Held by Insiders < 5%?   2.0000
Beta > 1.25?               1.0960          % Held by Institut. < 50?  0.4766
50 Da MA > 200 Da MA?     -0.4368          % Held by Institut. > 30?  3.0000
52-Wk Change vs. S&P 500: -0.9391          Short Ratio > 5?           1.1660
Price/Book Value < 3?      1.3424          Short % of Float > 20?     0.5945
Return on Assets > 17%?    0.5671          Average Volume > 100,000?  3.0000

Cash Flow Tests:
Oper. C.F. > Lever'd C.F:  1.1311          Positive Free Cash Flow?   3.0000
Positive Oper. Cash Flow?  3.0000          Price to C.F.Ratio < 14?:  2.6627
                                           Cash Flow / Assets > 10%?  2.2445

NLS    Nautilus, Inc.                      Overall Zenith Index:      1.4582


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Financial Statements

NAUTILUS INC  (NLS)                         INCOME STATEMENT

Fiscal year ends in December.                        2012-12         2013-12         2014-12         2015-12         2016-12             TTM           

Revenue                                          193,926,000     218,803,008     274,447,008     335,764,000     406,039,008     404,176,992
Cost of revenue                                  102,889,000     112,326,000     133,872,000     162,530,000     194,514,000     198,636,992
Gross profit                                      91,037,000     106,477,000     140,575,008     173,234,000     211,524,992     205,540,000


Operating expenses
Research and development                           4,163,000       5,562,000       7,231,000       9,904,000      13,919,000      14,589,000
Sales, General and administrative                 76,286,000      85,191,000     103,190,000     123,059,000     144,212,000     141,744,000
Total operating expenses                          80,449,000      90,753,000     110,421,000     132,963,000     158,131,008     156,332,992

Operating income                                  10,588,000      15,724,000      30,154,000      40,271,000      53,394,000      49,207,000
Interest Expense                                           0               0          25,000          22,000       1,928,000       1,692,000
Other income (expense)                              -172,000         315,000          95,000        -227,000         115,000         567,000
Income before taxes                               10,416,000      16,039,000      30,224,000      40,022,000      51,581,000      48,082,000
Provision for income taxes                          -226,000     -32,085,000       9,841,000      13,219,000      16,480,000      17,015,000
Net income from continuing operations             10,642,000      48,124,000      20,383,000      26,803,000      35,101,000      31,067,000
Net income from discontinuing ops                  6,241,000        -170,000      -1,588,000        -201,000        -923,000      -1,634,000
Net income                                        16,883,000      47,954,000      18,795,000      26,602,000      34,178,000      29,433,000
Net income available to common shareholders       16,883,000      47,954,000      18,795,000      26,602,000      34,178,000      29,433,000

Earnings per share
Basic                                                   0.55            1.54            0.60            0.85            1.10            0.95 
Diluted                                                 0.55            1.52            0.59            0.84            1.09            0.94 

Weighted average shares outstanding
Basic                                             30,851,000      31,072,000      31,253,000      31,288,000      31,032,000      30,784,500
Diluted                                           30,974,000      31,457,000      31,688,000      31,589,000      31,301,000      31,119,500

____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


NAUTILUS INC  (NLS)                         BALANCE SHEET

Fiscal year ends in December.                        2012-12         2013-12         2014-12         2015-12         2016-12             

Assets

Current assets

Cash

Short-term investments                                     0               0      26,984,000      29,998,000      31,743,000
Total cash                                        23,207,000      40,979,000      72,190,000      60,776,000      79,617,000

Receivables                                       21,767,000      25,336,000      26,260,000      45,155,000      45,458,000
Inventories                                       18,787,000      15,824,000      24,896,000      42,729,000      47,030,000
Deferred income taxes                                193,000       4,441,000      12,368,000       8,904,000               0
Prepaid expenses                                   5,750,000       6,927,000       6,987,000       6,888,000       8,020,000
Other current assets                                 183,000          80,000          50,000         439,000       3,231,000
Total current assets                              69,887,000      93,587,000     142,751,008     164,891,008     183,356,000

Non-current assets

Property, plant and equipment
Gross property, plant and equipment               47,279,000      49,040,000      35,802,000      41,654,000      45,517,000
Accumulated Depreciation                         -41,141,000     -40,541,000     -26,168,000     -24,890,000     -28,049,000
Net property, plant and equipment                  6,138,000       8,499,000       9,634,000      16,764,000      17,468,000

Goodwill                                           2,940,000       2,740,000       2,520,000      60,470,000      61,888,000
Intangible assets                                 14,666,000      12,615,000      10,575,000      73,354,000      69,800,000
Deferred income taxes                                      0      25,725,000       9,546,000               0          11,000
Other long-term assets                               680,000         401,000         628,000         433,000         543,000
Total non-current assets                          24,424,000      49,980,000      32,903,000     151,020,992     149,710,000

Total assets                                      94,311,000     143,567,008     175,654,000     315,912,000     333,065,984 

Liabilities and stockholders' equity

Liabilities

Current liabilities
Short-term debt                                            0               0               0      15,993,000      15,993,000
Capital leases                                     2,278,000               0               0               0               0
Accounts payable                                  32,753,000      37,192,000      47,574,000      61,745,000      66,020,000
Deferred income taxes                              1,275,000               0               0               0               0
Accrued liabilities                                5,564,000      10,733,000       9,851,000      13,027,000      12,892,000
Other current liabilities                          2,607,000               0       2,246,000       4,753,000       3,500,000
Total current liabilities                         44,477,000      47,925,000      59,671,000      95,518,000      98,405,000

Non-current liabilities
Long-term debt                                             0               0               0      63,971,000      47,979,000
Capital leases                                       214,000               0               0               0               0
Deferred taxes liabilities                         1,484,000               0               0      18,380,000      16,991,000
Accrued liabilities                                        0          28,000               0               0               0
Other long-term liabilities                        4,810,000       4,049,000       4,911,000      11,052,000       8,834,000
Total non-current liabilities                      6,508,000       4,077,000       4,911,000      93,403,000      73,804,000

Total liabilities                                 50,985,000      52,002,000      64,582,000     188,920,992     172,208,992 

Stockholders' equity

Additional paid-in capital                         6,103,000       6,769,000       8,033,000         796,000         578,000
Retained earnings                                 36,598,000      84,552,000     103,347,000     127,522,000     161,496,000
Accumulated other comprehensive income               625,000         244,000        -308,000      -1,327,000      -1,217,000
Total stockholders' equity                        43,326,000      91,565,000     111,072,000     126,991,000     160,856,992
Total liabilities and stockholders' equity        94,311,000     143,567,008     175,654,000     315,912,000     333,065,984

____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


NAUTILUS INC  (NLS)                         Statement of CASH FLOW

Fiscal year ends in December. USD.                   2012-12         2013-12         2014-12         2015-12         2016-12             TTM           

Cash Flows From Operating Activities
Net income                                        16,883,000      47,954,000      20,383,000      26,602,000      34,178,000      29,433,000
Depreciation & amortization                        3,269,000       3,344,000       4,024,000       3,412,000       7,874,000       8,512,000
Deferred income taxes                                145,000     -32,814,000       8,007,000      11,669,000       9,510,000       3,610,000
Stock based compensation                             630,000         454,000       1,066,000       1,484,000       2,613,000       2,506,000
Change in working capital                         -2,303,000         856,000       1,594,000      -4,701,000      -7,153,000       2,641,000
Accounts receivable                                1,928,000      -4,417,000      -1,331,000      -6,812,000        -694,000      -7,795,000
Inventory                                         -7,573,000       2,388,000      -9,560,000      -7,147,000      -3,110,000      -9,450,000
Prepaid expenses                                  -1,314,000      -1,174,000        -314,000       1,365,000      -1,415,000         642,000
Accounts payable                                   4,189,000       4,487,000      10,456,000       4,506,000       6,464,000      17,664,000
Accrued liabilities                                    3,000        -337,000       2,313,000       3,776,000      -5,606,000      -4,195,000
Income taxes payable                                 464,000               0               0               0               0               0
Other working capital                                      0         -91,000          30,000        -389,000      -2,792,000       5,775,000
Other non-cash items                              -5,811,000       1,292,000        -702,000       2,654,000      -1,171,000         939,000
Net cash provided by operating activities         12,813,000      21,086,000      34,372,000      41,120,000      45,851,000      47,641,000

Cash Flows From Investing Activities
Investments in property, plant, and equipmen      -2,442,000      -3,590,000      -3,181,000      -5,734,000      -4,656,000      -4,145,000
Property, plant, and equipment reductions              6,000               0               0               0               0               0
Acquisitions, net                                    410,000         116,000               0    -114,062,000      -3,468,000               0
Purchases of investments                                   0               0     -37,434,000     -61,933,000     -34,739,000     -68,821,000
Sales/Maturities of investments                            0               0      10,450,000      58,894,000      32,994,000      49,725,000
Other investing activities                                 0           5,000               0               0               0               0
Net cash used for investing activities            -2,026,000      -3,469,000     -30,165,000    -122,835,000      -9,869,000     -23,241,000

Cash Flows From Financing Activities
Debt issued                                                0               0               0      80,000,000               0               0
Debt repayment                                    -5,000,000               0               0               0     -16,000,000     -16,000,000
Common stock repurchased                                   0               0               0     -11,567,000      -5,390,000     -10,238,000
Excess tax benefit from stock based compe                  0        -145,000        -180,000          28,000       1,857,000           5,000
Other financing activities                           113,000         357,000         378,000         391,000         498,000          -5,000
Net cash provided by (used for) financing         -4,887,000         212,000         198,000      68,852,000     -19,035,000     -26,238,000

Effect of exchange rate changes                     -120,000         -57,000        -178,000      -1,565,000         149,000       1,150,000
Net change in cash                                 5,780,000      17,772,000       4,227,000     -14,428,000      17,096,000        -688,000
Cash at beginning of period                       17,427,000      23,207,000      40,979,000      45,206,000      30,778,000      31,169,000
Cash at end of period                             23,207,000      40,979,000      45,206,000      30,778,000      47,874,000      30,481,000

Free Cash Flow
Operating cash flow                               12,813,000      21,086,000      34,372,000      41,120,000      45,851,000      47,641,000
Capital expenditure                               -2,442,000      -3,590,000      -3,181,000      -5,734,000      -4,656,000      -4,145,000
Free cash flow                                    10,371,000      17,496,000      31,191,000      35,386,000      41,195,000      43,496,000
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________





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Average to Current P/E Ratios
              (NLS)       Nautilus Inc.

                               2013    2014    2015    2016    2017

          Annual Earnings:     0.55    1.52    0.59    0.84    1.09
Average Price During Year:     6.93   10.60   17.47   19.13   17.27

                P/E Ratio:    12.61    6.97   29.60   22.77   15.84

 Average 5-Year P/E Ratio  =  17.56
             Current Price =  12.85

Previous 5 Quarter Earnings:   0.24    0.37    0.23    0.08    0.27

           Current Annualized (Last Four Quarters) Earnings =  .58
                                                           ________
                                 Average PE / Current PE =     0.79
                                                           --------

                                      ...a number above 1.00 is good
                                                1.00 or below is bad


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Intrinsic Value (DCF)

Intrinsic Value by Discounted Cash Flow Method:

Intrinsic Value



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Book Value

Tangible Book Value:

Book Value



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Projected Earnings

Earnings Estimates
Earnings Estimates



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Research Reports

Click Here for Research Reports



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Analysts' Opinions

Analysts' Opinion 1
Analysts' Opinion 1
Analysts' Opinion 1
Analysts' Opinion 1
Analysts' Opinion 1
Analysts' Opinion 2



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Insider Activity

Insiders Chart Insider Trades
Insider Trades
Executive Compensation Executive Compensation



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Institutional Activity

Institutional Orders to Buy or Sell:

institutions 1
Ownership:

institutions 2


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Sentiment

sentiment

Zenith uses the "sentiment" score above or below 50 to award a positive or negative point in the Decision Matrix.

sentiment sentiment sentiment



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Short Interest Ratio

As the short interest rises as a percentage of average daily share volume (Days to Cover), this is considered a measure of negative sentiment. Similarly, a decrease in that percentage is considered positive sentiment.

short interest short interest


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Standard & Poor's

S&P Stock Report (Requires Adobe Acrobat Reader)



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Management's Discussion of Results of Operations Excerpts

Click Here for Management's Discussion Excerpts



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Channeling Potential

 
The summary below includes a value for `Degree,' which refers on a
scale of 1 to 10 the range of a channel in the period under consi-
deration compared to the total range of price movement. It also looks
for the last closing price to be within the channel, otherwise zeroed.
The `Index' is the `Degree' weighted for volatility.  Generally, the
the higher the index, the more suitable is the stock for trading as
a `rolling stock' between channel high and low points.

Results for NAUTILUS INC.:
Symbol? NLS
Total Months Available: 120
       Months in Cycle?   4

Months Covered by Periods:  12

Period 1           Period 2          Period 3
   H1      L1        H2      L2        H3      L3
  19.80   14.27     19.25   15.52     17.38   12.25

RANGE   =  19.80  TO   12.25            Close =  12.85
CHANNEL =  17.38  TO   15.52           Degree =   2
Volatility =  14.40%                    Index =   2
Channel Chart



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MACD Histogram Divergence

The theory is that connecting the two most recent peaks or valleys of the MACD histogram will signal the direction of the next major move.



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Intraday Chart

2 Days:



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Val Idea

6 out of 8 favorable, (positive opinion.)

Val Idea


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Stock Consultant

Stock Consultant Stock Consultant


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Point & Figure Chart

P & F Chart


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Wall Street Analyzer




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Marketspace Chart

Marketspace Chart



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Time Series Forecast

Time Series 1 Time Series 2


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Neural Network Prediction

"Neurostock" can only track long trades. Therefore its performance, as tracked by itself on stocks which are consistently falling, may not appear as good as it could if each "sell" signal were a "short sale."

Neural Chart
Heading
Neural Trades Neural Prediction



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Ultimate Trading Systems

3 out of 3 of the ultimate systems favor a downmove.


System Below:
Short term outlook: Positive: Bright Green, Negative: Bright Red
Long term outlook: Postive: Dark Green, Negative: Dark Red.




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Recommendation

Decision Weighting Factors
FactorsWeighted Points
News - 1
Comparison + 1
Industry + 1
Bond Issue 0
Zenith Index + 1
Non-GAAP vs. GAAP Earnings - 1
Cash Flow - 1
Average to Current P/E - 1
Ratios + 1
Market Grader + 1
Intrinsic Value DCF + 1
Tangible Book Value - 1
Projected Earnings + 1
Research Reports + 1
Analysts + 1
Executive Perquisites + 1
Insider Activity - 1
Institutional Activity + 1
Management Reporting + 1
Short Interest - 1
Sentiment + 1
Standard & Poor's + 1
MACD Histogram Divergence - 1
Val Idea + 1
Stock Consultant + 1
Point & Figure - 1
Wall Street Analyzer - 1
Marketspace Chart + 1
Time Series Chart - 1
Neural Network + 1
Stock Options - 1
Ultimate Trading Systems - 1
Total + 5
Place 2,325 shares of Nautilus Group, Inc. (NLS) on the Active List.