02-04-2019: Kemet Corporation (KEM): A Leader in Capacitor Manufacture

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Recommendation

Kemet Corporation

In this review of Kemet Corporation, an immediate thing which jumped out at us were the company's excellent website describing both its products and its concern for shareholders. Another factor, was acquisition of Tokin Electronic Components Corporation coupled with moves of manufacturing facility to overseas leading to a lengthy writeupn in the Management's Discussion section regarding the uncertain tax implications of a corporation doing a lot of employment and manufacturing outside the U.S. even though based in Florida. The current trade war situation with China certainly is not helping this company, or the semiconductor group as a whole.

Also we first noted a high Zenith Index indicating strong fundamentals. The corporation also pays nearly a 1% dividend. Dragging our overall rating down has been a very poor stock chart pattern in an otherwise strong market. This corporation's stock is lagging others in the same strong industry group.

The company's products are classified in three segments, capacitors, film and electrolytic, and electro-magnetic sensors and actuators. The biggest prospects for revenue growth appear to be coming from optimism for component circuit needs regarding development of 5G (fifth generation) sources for wireless transmission of data and Internet, mainly to smart phones.

The stock has dropped back into a channeling range between 18 and 22, and is at the low end of that range. We see it as a buying opportunity in the light of favorable reports from analysts and overwhelmingly favorable from researchers. Institutions are recent net sellers, but Dimensional Fund Advisors is among primary shareholders which is a good sign.

There appears to be some Swedish influence in this company which explains the "strange" name of the CEO but the company has sold off much of its manufacturing interests in Europe and even America. It has always been based in the U.S. after having a capacitor manufacturing division of Union Carbide spun off in 1987. The company's roots go back much further than that in early electronics.

We frankly can't see any reason for the recent stock price decline. The company gave a sterling earnings report beating analysts' estimates and in line with increasing earnings trend as recently as February 1st. It also started paying the quarterly dividend. It is anticipating heavy sales opportunities for its electronic parts, especially capacitors, in the upcoming "5G" equipment boom. But it does do a lot of business internationally, and like so many other companies is being hurt by President Trump's mismanagement of trade relations across the world. His isolationist and unrealistic view does not comprehend the "global economy" at all. He brings jobs back to America only at a high cost which may end up costing more to everyone than leaving some manufacturing opportunities overseas. 



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Zenith Index

Under current market conditions, a Zenith Index Score of 1.20 or above is required for a positive rating on this factor. 1.21 -1.30 is considered acceptable, 1.30-1.40 is considered strong and
> 1.40 is considered exceptionally strong. Accounting statements in this section often contain mistakes, especially in earlier years' totals, but data is deemed sufficient for us to give a rating. More accurate financial statements follow in the next section.

KEMET Corporation (KEM)                                   Exchange: NYSE
101 NE 3rd Avenue
Suite 1700                       Sector: Technology
Fort Lauderdale, FL 33301        Industry: Electronic

KEMET Corporation manufactures and sells passive electronic components
under the KEMET brand worldwide. The company operates in three segments:
Solid Capacitors, Film and Electrolytic; and Electro-Magnetic, Sensors,
and Actuators. It offers tantalum, aluminum polymer, and ceramic
capacitors; film, paper, and wet aluminum electrolytic capacitors;
electromagnetic interference filters; and electro-magnetic compatible
materials and devices, piezo materials and actuators, and various types
of sensors. The company serves original equipment manufacturers,
electronics manufacturing services providers, and distributors in
various industries, including automotive, communications,
computer-related, industrial, consumer, military/aerospace, and
alternative energy. It sells its products through direct sales force and
independent sales representatives. The company was founded in 1919 and
is headquartered in Fort Lauderdale, Florida.

Last Trade:  17.72                           52-Week Range:  29.85 -  15.55
Employees: 14,900                            Avg.Volume:   1,307,847 Shares

Corporate Governance:
Pillar scores are Audit: 1; Board: 3; Shareholder Rights: 5; Compensation: 2.
         (A lower number means less governance risk.)

EPS:  1.58    Dividend Amount: $ 0.20          Yield:  0.98%
             Ex-Dividend Date: Nov 14, 2018    Payout Ratio:   0.00

Key Statistics:

    Trailing P/E:  11.51              Forward P/E (est.):   4.64
                                           Target Price:  27.67

Qrtly Stock Price Growth (yoy):  -6.98%               Beta:   0.00
Qrtly S&P Index   Growth (yoy):  15.80%        Short Ratio:   6.89%
    Qrtly Revenue Growth (yoy):  -4.18%         Shares Out:  57440000
   Qrtly Earnings Growth (yoy): 189.70%

          Book Value:   8.92                    Debt/Equity:  61.77%
    Price/Book Value:   2.04        Operating Profit Margin:  12.18%
         Price/Sales:   0.80                  Profit Margin:   7.20%
         Market Cap:   1,045,000,000       Return on Equity:  20.17%
    Enterprise Value:   1,270,000,000      Return on Assets:   8.41%

    Operating Cash Flow:    114,110,000
         Free Cash Flow:     40,570,000



Annual Income Statement:                          (All numbers in thousands)
  Period Ending                             03/31/2018   3/31/2017   3/31/2016

  Total Revenue                              1,199,926     757,791     734,823
  Cost of Revenue                              859,533     570,864     570,639
  Gross Profit                                 340,393     186,927     164,184

Operating Expenses:
  Research & Development                        39,619      27,398      24,613
  Selling, General & Administrative            165,984     105,018      97,772
  Non-Recurring Expenses                             0           0           0
  Other Operating Expenses                           0           0           0
  Total Operating Expenses                   1,065,136     703,280     693,024

Operating Income or Loss                       134,790      54,511      41,799

Income from Continuing Operations:
  Total Other Income/Expenses Net              128,920      -2,232     -89,422
  Earnings Before Interest & Taxes             134,790      54,511      41,799
  Interest Expense                             -32,882     -39,755     -39,605
  Income Before Taxes                          263,710      52,279     -47,623
  Income Tax Expense                             9,181       4,290       6,006
  Minority Interest                                  0           0           0

Net Income from Continuing Op.s                254,529      47,989     -53,629

Non-recurring Events:
  Discontinued Operations                            0           0           0
  Extraordinary Items                                0           0           0
  Effect of Accounting Changes                       0           0           0
  Other Items                                        0           0           0
  Net Income                                   254,529      47,989     -53,629
  Preferred Stock & Other Adjustments                0           0           0

Net Income Avail to Common Shares              254,529      47,989     -53,629



Annual Cash Flow Statement:                   (All numbers in thousands)
  Period Ending                         03/31/2018     3/31/2017     3/31/2016

  Net Income                               254,529        47,989       -53,629

Operating Activities:
  Depreciation                              49,755        37,338        39,016
  Adjustments to Net Income               -191,855       -34,691        51,693
  Changes in Accounts Recv'bls              30,084           -12        -2,346
  Changes in Liabilities                   -16,053         6,170        -5,982
  Changes in Investories                   -13,827        16,805         3,338
  Changes in other Oper'g Acts               4,443        -2,837          -202

Total Cash Flow f Operations               120,860        71,667        32,365

Investing Activities:
  Capital Exenditures                      -65,004       -25,617       -20,469
  Investments                               -3,000        -3,000        -3,000
  Other Cash Flows fr Investing              2,745         2,745         1,802

Total Cash Flows from Investing            102,364       -25,598       -20,588

Financing Activities:
  Dividends Paid                                 0             0             0
  Sale of Purchase of Stock                      0             0             0
  Net Borrowings                           -64,841          -114           -81
  Other Cash Flows fr Financing             -5,002        -5,002         1,802

Total Cash Flows from Financing            -55,798          -125        -3,803

  Effect of Exchange Rate Chg                9,646        -1,174           668

Change in Cash & Cash Equiv.               177,072        44,770         8,642



Annual Balance Sheets:                              (All Numbers in Thousands)
  Period Ending                          03/31/2018     3/31/2017     3/31/2016
Current Assets:
  Cash & Cash Equivalents                   286,846       109,774        65,004
  Short Term Investments                          0             0             0
  Net Receivables                           144,076        92,526        93,168
  Inventory                                 204,386       147,955       168,879
  Other Current Assets                        1,154         2,907             0
  Total Current Assets                      636,462       353,162       327,051

  Long-Term Investments                      12,016        63,416        20,334
  Property, Plant & Equipt                  405,316       209,311       241,839
  Goodwill                                   40,294        40,294        40,294
  Intangible Assets                          59,907        29,781        33,301
  Accumulated Amortization                        0             0             0
  Other Assets                               24,268        12,486        11,465
  Deferred LT Asset Charges                  13,837         8,367         8,397

Total Assets                              1,218,269       734,325       699,780

Current Liabilities:
  Accounts Payable                          139,989        69,674        70,981
  Current Portion LT Debt                    20,540         2,000         2,000
  Other Current Liabilities                  44,425         1,699         1,399
  Total Current Liabilities                 284,916       130,141        123,754

  Long Term Debt                            304,083       386,211       385,833
  Other Liabilities                         166,307        63,501        77,712
  Deferred LT Liab. Charges                       0             0             0
  Minority Interest                               0             0             0
  Negative Goodwill                               0             0             0

Total Liabilities                           755,306       579,853       587,299

Stockholder Equity:
  Misc. Options, Warrants                         0             0             0
  Redeemable Preferred Stock                      0             0             0
  Preferred Stock                                 0             0             0
  Common Stock                                  566           467           465
  Retained Earnings                           2,675      -251,854      -299,510
  Treasury Stock                             -3,015       -41,812       -41,295
  Capital Surplus                           462,737       447,671       452,821
  Other Stockhohlder Equity                  -3,015       -41,812       -31,425
  Total Stockholder Equity                  462,963       154,472       112,481

Net Tangible Assets                         362,762        84,397        38,886


KEMET Corporation (KEM)                     [Indices near +3.0, near zero,
                                            or < zero bear special attention.]
P/E Ratio Tests:
P/E Ratio < 28?            2.4327          P/E Ratio > 5?             1.0000
P/E Ratio Vs Growth Rate:  3.0000          Forward P/E Ratio < 28?    3.0000
Price/Sales Ratio < 2.3?   2.8750          Inventory/Sales < 5%?      0.2935
Sales < $1 Billion?        0.8334          Operating Margin < 7.5%?   0.6158

Balance Sheet Tests:
Debt/Equity < 0.40?        0.6476          Long-Term Debt Service:    1.5225
LTD Being Reduced?         3.0000          Short-Term Debt Service:  -3.0000
Current Ratio > 2?         1.1169          Working Capital >= 1.5?    0.6804
Leverage Ratio < 20%?      0.4186          Debt/Assets < 1?           3.0000
Quick Ratio > 1?           3.0000          Inventory Turnover > 1?    0.1919
Share Equity Increase:     3.0000          Market Cap.< 1.5 Billion?  1.4354
                                           Intangibles < 3% Assets?   0.3647
Income Tests:
Profit Margin < 7.5%?      0.9600          EPS Annual Growth > 10%?   0.0189
Dividend Yield > 2.0%?     2.0408          EPS 3-yr Growth > 15?     -0.0316
Enterprise Value/Revenue   0.8709          EPS Growth Consistent?     2.0000
Enterprise Value/EBITDA:   3.0000          Collection < 45 days?      1.0268
EPS Qrtly Growth > 10%?    0.0005          Gross Pft/Cur. LTD > 1?    3.0000
                                           Borrowing Int. Rate < 6%? -0.5549
Stock Performance Tests:
Volatility > 25%?          1.9162          % Held by Insiders < 5%?   0.6427
Beta > 1.25?               0.0000          % Held by Institut. < 50?  0.6148
50 Da MA > 200 Da MA?     -0.4774          % Held by Institut. > 30?  2.7110
52-Wk Change vs. S&P 500:  1.6699          Short Ratio > 5?           1.3780
Price/Book Value < 3?      1.5102          Short % of Float > 20?     0.6245
Return on Assets > 17%?    0.4947          Average Volume > 100,000?  3.0000

Cash Flow Tests:
Oper. C.F. > Lever'd C.F:  2.8127          Positive Free Cash Flow?   3.0000
Positive Oper. Cash Flow?  3.0000          Price to C.F.Ratio < 14?:  3.0000
                                           Cash Flow / Assets > 10%?  2.2903

KEM    KEMET Corporation                   Overall Zenith Index:      1.4277


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Financial Statements

KEMET CORP  (KEM)                           INCOME STATEMENT

Fiscal year ends in March. USD in thousands          2014-03         2015-03         2016-03         2017-03         2018-03             TTM           

Revenue                                              833,666         823,192         734,823         757,791       1,199,926       1,301,261
Cost of revenue                                      712,925         663,683         571,543         571,679         859,533         911,503
Gross profit                                         120,741         159,509         163,280         186,112         340,393         389,758


Operating expenses
Research and development                              24,466          25,802          24,955          27,629          39,619          42,519
Sales, General and administrative                     95,856          98,533         101,446         107,445         183,520         206,272
Restructuring, merger and acquisition                 14,122          13,017           4,178           5,404        -116,037          17,734
Other operating expenses                             -14,122         -13,017          -4,178          -5,404         116,037         -17,734
Total operating expenses                             120,322         124,335         126,401         135,074         223,139         248,791

Operating income                                         419          35,174          36,879          51,038         117,254         140,967
Interest Expense                                      39,258          39,234          38,213          38,365          32,371          28,472
Other income (expense)                               -17,458          -8,066         -29,883          -2,037         102,635          -7,632
Income before taxes                                  -56,297         -12,126         -31,217          10,636         187,518         104,863
Provision for income taxes                             1,482           5,227           6,006           4,290           9,181          11,777
Other income                                          -7,090          -2,169         -16,406          41,643          76,192             546
Net income from continuing operations                -64,869         -19,522         -53,629          47,989         254,529          93,632
Net income from discontinuing ops                     -3,634           5,379               0               0               0               0
Net income                                           -68,503         -14,143         -53,629          47,989         254,529          93,632
Net income available to common shareholders          -68,503         -14,143         -53,629          47,989         254,529          93,632

Earnings per share
Basic                                                  -1.52           -0.31           -1.17            1.03            4.82            1.28 
Diluted                                                -1.52           -0.31           -1.17            0.87            4.34            1.28 

Weighted average shares outstanding
Basic                                                 45,102          45,381          46,004          46,552          52,798          57,280
Diluted                                               45,102          45,381          46,004          55,389          58,640          59,132

____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


KEMET CORP  (KEM)                           BALANCE SHEET

Fiscal year ends in March. USD in thousands          2014-03         2015-03         2016-03         2017-03         2018-03             

Assets

Current assets

Cash

Total cash                                            57,929          56,362          65,004         109,774         286,846

Receivables                                           98,947          90,857          93,168          92,526         144,076
Inventories                                          187,974         171,843         168,879         147,955         204,386
Deferred income taxes                                  6,695          10,762               0               0               0
Prepaid expenses                                      36,871          41,503          25,496          28,759          41,160
Other current assets                                  12,160               0               0               0               0
Total current assets                                 400,576         371,327         352,547         379,014         676,468

Non-current assets

Property, plant and equipment
Gross property, plant and equipment                1,098,335       1,053,927       1,057,177       1,030,587       1,271,930
Accumulated Depreciation                            -805,687        -804,286        -815,338        -821,276        -866,614
Net property, plant and equipment                    292,648         249,641         241,839         209,311         405,316

Equity and other investments                          46,419          45,016          20,334          63,416          12,016
Goodwill                                              35,584          35,584          40,294          40,294          40,294
Intangible assets                                     37,184          33,282          33,301          29,781          59,907
Deferred income taxes                                  6,778           5,111           8,397           8,593          13,837
Other long-term assets                                24,478          12,831           5,832           4,119          10,431
Total non-current assets                             443,091         381,465         349,997         355,514         541,801

Total assets                                         843,667         752,792         702,544         734,528       1,218,269 

Liabilities and stockholders' equity

Liabilities

Current liabilities
Short-term debt                                        7,297             962           2,000           2,000          20,540
Accounts payable                                      74,818          69,785          70,981          69,674         139,989
Taxes payable                                            980           1,017             453             715           2,010
Accrued liabilities                                   57,315          60,456          50,320          57,752         122,377
Other current liabilities                             26,422               0               0               0               0
Total current liabilities                            166,832         132,220         123,754         130,141         284,916

Non-current liabilities
Long-term debt                                       391,292         390,409         388,597         386,211         304,083
Deferred taxes liabilities                             5,203           8,350           2,820           3,370          14,571
Pensions and other benefits                           32,852          38,982          35,156          34,674          83,495
Other long-term liabilities                           25,604          18,149          39,736          25,457          68,241
Total non-current liabilities                        454,951         455,890         466,309         449,712         470,390

Total liabilities                                    621,783         588,110         590,063         579,853         755,306 

Stockholders' equity

Common stock                                             465             465             465             467             566
Additional paid-in capital                           465,027         461,191         452,821         447,671         462,737
Retained earnings                                   -231,738        -245,881        -299,510        -251,651           2,675
Treasury stock                                       -30,054         -22,297          -9,870               0               0
Accumulated other comprehensive income                18,184         -28,796         -31,425         -41,812          -3,015
Total stockholders' equity                           221,884         164,682         112,481         154,675         462,963
Total liabilities and stockholders' equity           843,667         752,792         702,544         734,528       1,218,269

____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


KEMET CORP  (KEM)                           Statement of CASH FLOW

Fiscal year ends in March. USD in thousands          2014-03         2015-03         2016-03         2017-03         2018-03             TTM           

Cash Flows From Operating Activities
Net income                                           -68,503         -19,787         -53,629          47,989         254,529          93,632
Depreciation & amortization                           49,527          40,768          39,016          37,338          49,755          49,384
Investment/asset impairment charges                    5,960              52              24          10,343            -830             -58
Investments losses (gains)                            -3,111          -2,100          26,300         -10,700               0               0
Deferred income taxes                                 -6,369          -2,084             495             -19               0               0
Stock based compensation                               2,909           4,512           4,774           4,720           7,657          13,503
Change in working capital                              2,386          14,033          -5,574          20,270           6,577         -57,008
Accounts receivable                                   -4,618           8,220          -2,346             -12          30,084               0
Inventory                                             14,891           8,559           3,338          16,805         -13,827               0
Prepaid expenses                                       3,748          -8,404          13,588          -1,769           4,330               0
Accounts payable                                      -2,070          -2,879          -5,982           6,170         -16,053               0
Income taxes payable                                     172            -383            -382             144           1,317               0
Other working capital                                 -9,737           8,920         -13,790          -1,068             726         -57,008
Other non-cash items                                  10,455         -10,992          20,959         -38,274        -196,828          14,657
Net cash provided by operating activities             -6,746          24,402          32,365          71,667         120,860         114,110

Cash Flows From Investing Activities
Investments in property, plant, and equipmen         -32,147         -22,232         -20,469         -25,617         -65,004         -87,652
Acquisitions, net                                          0           9,564          -2,892               0         160,985          -7,144
Other investing activities                             6,894          16,297           2,773              19           6,383           5,974
Net cash used for investing activities               -25,253           3,629         -20,588         -25,598         102,364         -88,822

Cash Flows From Financing Activities
Debt issued                                           21,000          42,340          10,000          14,314         334,978             510
Debt repayment                                        -6,150         -49,075         -10,081         -14,428        -399,819         -17,250
Common stock repurchased                                   0            -630            -722          -1,144               0               0
Other financing activities                           -21,727         -19,503          -3,000           1,133           9,043           1,612
Net cash provided by (used for) financing             -6,877         -26,868          -3,803            -125         -55,798         -15,128

Effect of exchange rate changes                          827          -2,730             668          -1,174           9,646            -786
Net change in cash                                   -38,049          -1,567           8,642          44,770         177,072           9,374
Cash at beginning of period                           95,978          57,929          56,362          65,004         109,774         253,673
Cash at end of period                                 57,929          56,362          65,004         109,774         286,846         263,047

Free Cash Flow
Operating cash flow                                   -6,746          24,402          32,365          71,667         120,860         114,110
Capital expenditure                                  -32,147         -22,232         -20,469         -25,617         -65,004         -87,652
Free cash flow                                       -38,893           2,170          11,896          46,050          55,856          26,458
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________





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Average to Current P/E Ratios
              (KEM)     Kemet Corp.

                               2014    2015    2016    2017    2018

          Annual Earnings:    -1.52   -0.44   -1.17    0.87    4.34
Average Price During Year:     5.23    3.23    2.79   14.40   20.28

                P/E Ratio:     3.44    7.34    2.38   16.56    4.67

 Average 5-Year P/E Ratio  =   6.88
             Current Price =  18.08

Previous 5 Quarter Earnings:   0.22    0.32    0.04    0.60    0.63

          Current Annualized (Last Four Quarters) Earnings =   1.27
                                                           ________
                                 Average PE / Current PE =     0.48
                                                           --------

                                      ...a number above 1.00 is good
                                                1.00 or below is bad


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Financial Ratios

. . . . . . . . . . . . Lowest to Highest, Compared to Industry



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Intrinsic Value (DCF)

Intrinsic Value by Discounted Cash Flow Method:

Intrinsic Value



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Fair Value Estimator

Fair Value Estimate:

Fair ValueFair Value



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Projected Earnings

Earnings Estimates
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Research Reports

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Analysts' Opinions

Analysts' Opinion 1
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Analysts' Opinion 2



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Insider Activity

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Institutional Activity

Institutional Orders to Buy or Sell:

institutions 1
Ownership:

institutions 2


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Sentiment

sentiment

Zenith uses the "sentiment" score above or below 50 to award a positive or negative point in the Decision Matrix.

sentiment sentiment sentiment



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Short Interest Ratio

As the short interest rises as a percentage of average daily share volume (Days to Cover), this is considered a measure of negative sentiment. Similarly, a decrease in that percentage is considered positive sentiment.

short interest short interest


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Standard & Poor's

S&P Stock Report (Requires Adobe Acrobat Reader)



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Management's Discussion of Results of Operations Excerpts

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Channeling Potential

 
The summary below includes a value for `Degree,' which refers on a
scale of 1 to 10 the range of a channel in the period under consi-
deration compared to the total range of price movement. It also looks
for the last closing price to be within the channel, otherwise zeroed.
The `Index' is the `Degree' weighted for volatility.  Generally, the
the higher the index, the more suitable is the stock for trading as
a `rolling stock' between channel high and low points.

Results for KEMET CORPORATION:
Symbol? KEM
Total Months Available:  25
       Months in Cycle?   4

Months Covered by Periods:  12

Period 1           Period 2          Period 3
   H1      L1        H2      L2        H3      L3
  21.47   16.30     29.85   18.58     23.13   15.55

RANGE   =  29.85  TO   15.55            Close =  17.72
CHANNEL =  21.47  TO   18.58           Degree =   2
Volatility =  16.31%                    Index =   3
Channel Chart



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MACD Histogram Divergence

The theory is that connecting the two most recent peaks or valleys of the MACD histogram will signal the direction of the next major move.



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Intraday Chart

2 Days:



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Val Idea

4 out of 8 favorable, (neutral opinion.)

Val Idea
Val Idea


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Stock Consultant

Stock Consultant Stock Consultant


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Point & Figure Chart

P & F Chart


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Wall Street Analyzer



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Marketspace Chart

Marketspace Chart



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Time Series Forecast

Time Series 1 Time Series 2


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Neural Network Prediction

"Neurostock" can only track long trades. Therefore its performance, as tracked by itself on stocks which are consistently falling, may not appear as good as it could if each "sell" signal were a "short sale."

Neural Chart
Heading
Neural Trades Neural Prediction



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Ultimate Trading Systems

3 out of 3 of the ultimate systems favor a downmove.


System Below:
Short term outlook: Positive: Bright Green, Negative: Bright Red
Long term outlook: Postive: Dark Green, Negative: Dark Red.




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Recommendation

Decision Weighting Factors
FactorsWeighted Points
News + 1
Comparison + 1
Industry + 1
Bond Issue + 1
Zenith Index + 1
Non-GAAP vs. GAAP Earnings + 1
Cash Flow + 1
Average to Current P/E - 1
Ratios + 1
Intrinsic Value DCF 0
Fair Value Estimator + 1
Projected Earnings + 1
Research Reports + 1
Analysts + 1
Executive Perquisites - 1
Insider Activity - 1
Institutional Activity - 1
Management Reporting + 1
Short Interest - 1
Sentiment - 1
Standard & Poor's + 1
MACD Histogram Divergence + 1
Val Idea 0
Stock Consultant + 1
Point & Figure - 1
Wall Street Analyzer - 1
Marketspace Chart - 1
Time Series Chart - 1
Neural Network - 1
Stock Options + 1
Ultimate Trading Systems - 1
Total + 6
Place 1.660 shares of Kemet Corporation (KEM) on the Active List.