08-02-2018: Ingersoll Rand PLC (IR): Increasing Climate Control Sales

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Recommendation

Ingersoll Rand PLC

Ingersol-Rand PLC (IR) is a company based in Ireland near Dublin. It manufactures machinery for environmental controls, notably it owns Trane Corporation. It divides its "segment" reporting into three areas, industrial, climate, and transportation. The latter seems oddly out-of-place offering golf carts. Large industrial climate control is its biggest revenue generator, followed by its consumer "climate" segment which includes Trane and Thermo King, the latter having to do with refrigerated trucks.

Our first impression is that while this "public limited company" has good reporting, website, and shareholder concern, it has an unacceptably low Zenith Index indicating poor fundamentals somewhere. Some value-oriented researchers agree with us, but most overwhelmingly favor the company as to analysts. Institutions are net acquirers.

We think management is overcompensated, indicating possibly lack of corporate governance, but the organization is consistently raising shareholder dividends significantly year after year. The current yield is around 2.3%.

Market Grader has reservations, but Standard & Poor's and GMI Analysts, two researchers that look at fundamentals like the stock. There was a warning on this stock that earnings have outpaced revenue growth in a trend that is not sustainable. But revised upward top-line estimates may portend substantially increasing sales for the near future.

This is a large $15 billion in annual sales company. It has been making significant acquisitions and has a history of partnerships with corporations like Mitsubishi, all of which leads to complex relationships in the climate control industry. The corporation shows serious environmental concern and activism in that area as one might expect from climate control interests.

The stock has made a clear breakout to the upside on increasing sales prospects, but we've seen this before in this large a corporation, so that it appears to have a definite trading range (channeling stock) at the top of its recent range. We think the odds are for a pullback in preference to continued buy and hold stragegy performance.

As to how tax considerations will affect this large a company that is based overseas, the company itself seems uncertain. Looming trade wars do not seem to have appeared in news items, only development of superior new products and announcements for same, many of which are manufactured overseas. 



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Zenith Index

Under current market conditions, a Zenith Index Score of 1.20 or above is required for a positive rating on this factor. 1.21 -1.30 is considered acceptable, 1.30-1.40 is considered strong while greater than 1.40 is considered exceptionally strong. Accounting statements in this section often contain mistakes, especially in earlier years' totals, but data is deemed sufficient for us to give a rating. More accurate financial statements follow in the next section.

Ingersoll-Rand Plc (IR)                                   Exchange: NYSE
170/175 Lakeview Drive
Airside Business Park            Sector: Industrials
Swords                           Industry: Diversified Industrials
Ireland

Ingersoll-Rand plc designs, manufactures, sells, and services industrial
and commercial products. It operates through Climate and Industrial
segments. The Climate segment offers building management, bus, rail, and
multi-pipe HVAC, control, container and cryogenic, diesel-powered,
ductless, geothermal, package heating and cooling, rail and self-powered
truck refrigeration, temporary heating and cooling, trailer
refrigeration, unitary, and vehicle-powered truck refrigeration systems.
This segment also provides air conditioners, air exchangers and
handlers, airside and terminal devices, auxiliary power units, chillers,
coils and condensers, gensets, furnaces, heat pumps, home automation,
and humidifiers; hybrid and non-diesel transport refrigeration, and ice
energy storage solutions; indoor air quality, industrial refrigeration,
motor replacements, performance contracting, refrigerant reclamation,
thermostats/controls, transport heater products, and water source heat
pumps. In addition, this segment offers energy and facility management,
installation contracting, rental, and repair and maintenance services.
The Industrial segment provides air treatment and separation, engine
starting, ergonomic material handling, fluid handling, precision
fastening, and mobile golf information systems; and compressors,
airends, blowers, dryers, filters, golf vehicles, hoists, fluid power
components, power tools, pumps, rough terrain vehicles, utility and
low-speed vehicles, and winches, as well as controls, parts,
accessories, and consumables. It also provides aftermarket, OEM parts,
and supplies. The company markets and sells its products under the
American Standard, ARO, Club Car, Nexia, Thermo King, and Trane brands
through sales offices, distributors, and dealers in the United States;
and through sales and service companies with a supporting chain of
distributors worldwide. Ingersoll-Rand plc was founded in 1872 and is
headquartered in Swords, Ireland.

Last Trade:  97.22                           52-Week Range:  99.00 -  79.63
Employees: 46,000                            Avg.Volume:   1,499,746 Shares

Corporate Governance:
Pillar scores are Audit: 1; Board: 6; Shareholder Rights: 3; Compensation: 4.
         (A lower number means less governance risk.)

EPS:  5.10    Dividend Amount: $ 2.12          Yield:  2.31%
             Ex-Dividend Date: Sep 5, 2018     Payout Ratio:  33.78

Key Statistics:

    Trailing P/E:  19.27              Forward P/E (est.):  15.95
                                           Target Price: 106.64

Qrtly Stock Price Growth (yoy):  10.63%               Beta:   1.49
Qrtly S&P Index   Growth (yoy):  12.80%        Short Ratio:   2.07%
    Qrtly Revenue Growth (yoy):  13.45%         Shares Out:  245310000
   Qrtly Earnings Growth (yoy):   2.80%

          Book Value:  28.55                    Debt/Equity:  60.93%
    Price/Book Value:   3.44        Operating Profit Margin:  12.12%
         Price/Sales:   1.65                  Profit Margin:   8.96%
         Market Cap:  24,102,000,000       Return on Equity:  19.48%
    Enterprise Value:  25,920,000,000      Return on Assets:   6.20%

    Operating Cash Flow:  1,500,000,000
         Free Cash Flow:    896,250,000


Annual Income Statement:                       (All numbers in thousands)
  Period Ending                             12/31/2017  12/31/2016  12/31/2015

  Total Revenue                             14,197,600  13,508,900  13,300,700
  Cost of Revenue                            9,764,800   9,298,100   9,264,900
  Gross Profit                               4,432,800   4,210,800   4,035,800

Operating Expenses:
  Research & Development                             0           0           0
  Selling, General & Administrative          2,705,800   2,572,100   2,510,000
  Non-Recurring Expenses                             0           0           0
  Other Operating Expenses                           0           0           0
  Total Operating Expenses                  12,470,600  11,870,200  11,774,900

Operating Income or Loss                     1,727,000   1,638,700   1,525,800

Income from Continuing Operations:
  Total Other Income/Expenses Net             -309,100     102,600    -277,900
  Earnings Before Interest & Taxes           1,727,000              1,638,700  E
arnings Before Interest & Taxes           1,525,800
  Interest Expense                            -215,800    -221,500    -223,000
  Income Before Taxes                        1,417,900   1,741,300   1,247,900
  Income Tax Expense                            80,200     281,500     540,800
  Minority Interest                             66,600      74,500      62,500

Net Income from Continuing Op.s              1,337,700   1,459,800     707,100

Non-recurring Events:
  Discontinued Operations                      -25,400      32,900     -24,300
  Extraordinary Items                                0           0           0
  Effect of Accounting Changes                       0           0           0
  Other Items                                        0           0           0
  Net Income                                 1,302,600   1,476,200     664,600
  Preferred Stock & Other Adjustments                0           0           0

Net Income Avail to Common Shares            1,302,600   1,476,200     664,600



Annual Cash Flow Statement:                   (All numbers in thousands)
  Period Ending                         12/31/2017    12/31/2016    12/31/2015

  Net Income                             1,337,700     1,459,800       707,100

Operating Activities:
  Depreciation                             324,700       316,300       322,200
  Adjustments to Net Income                -51,900      -289,700       165,100
  Changes in Accounts Recv'bls            -156,700      -101,300       -79,800
  Changes in Liabilities                   167,200       103,600       -41,000
  Changes in Investories                  -112,400        26,800        -6,300
  Changes in other Oper'g Acts              21,400       -45,900      -178,300

Total Cash Flow f Operations             1,523,500     1,521,900             0

Investing Activities:
  Capital Exenditures                     -221,300      -182,700      -249,600
  Investments                                2,700       422,500       422,500
  Other Cash Flows fr Investing                  0             0             0

Total Cash Flows from Investing           -374,700       240,100             0

Financing Activities:
  Dividends Paid                          -430,100      -348,600      -303,300
  Sale of Purchase of Stock                 76,700        62,900        61,300
  Net Borrowings                           -11,700      -150,700         6,400
  Other Cash Flows fr Financing            -50,500       -40,400             0

Total Cash Flows from Financing         -1,432,500      -726,900             0

  Effect of Exchange Rate Chg                    0             0             0

Change in Cash & Cash Equiv.               -57,200      -136,300             0



Annual Balance Sheets:                              (All Numbers in Thousands)
  Period Ending                          12/31/2017    12/31/2016    12/31/2015
Current Assets:
  Cash & Cash Equivalents                 1,549,400     1,714,700       736,800
  Short Term Investments                          0             0             0
  Net Receivables                         2,533,500     2,277,000     2,201,900
  Inventory                               1,555,400     1,385,800     1,410,700
  Other Current Assets                      480,800       201,800       260,000
  Total Current Assets                    6,119,100     5,579,300     4,609,400

  Long-Term Investments                           0             0             0
  Property, Plant & Equipt                1,551,300     1,511,000     1,575,100
  Goodwill                                5,935,700     5,658,400     5,730,200
  Intangible Assets                       3,742,900     3,785,100     3,926,100
  Accumulated Amortization                        0             0             0
  Other Assets                              824,300       863,600       876,800
  Deferred LT Asset Charges                       0             0             0

Total Assets                             18,173,300    17,397,400    16,717,600

Current Liabilities:
  Accounts Payable                        1,556,100     1,334,000     1,249,300
  Current Portion LT Debt                 4,064,000     4,070,200     4,217,800
  Other Current Liabilities                 295,200       327,500       328,400
  Total Current Liabilities               5,915,300     5,731,700      5,795,500

  Long Term Debt                          1,556,100     1,334,000     1,249,300
  Other Liabilities                       4,064,000     4,070,200     4,217,800
  Deferred LT Liab. Charges                 295,200       327,500       328,400
  Minority Interest                          66,600        74,500        62,500
  Negative Goodwill                          66,600        74,500        62,500

Total Liabilities                        12,120,300    12,895,000    13,048,000

Stockholder Equity:
  Misc. Options, Warrants                         0             0             0
  Redeemable Preferred Stock                      0             0             0
  Preferred Stock                                 0             0             0
  Common Stock                              274,000       271,700       269,000
  Retained Earnings                       8,903,200     8,018,800     6,897,900
  Treasury Stock                         -2,498,200    -1,993,200    -1,573,500
  Capital Surplus                           461,300       346,500       223,300
  Other Stockhohlder Equity                -778,800    -1,290,500    -1,120,900
  Total Stockholder Equity                7,140,300     6,643,800     5,816,700

Net Tangible Assets                      -2,538,300    -2,799,700    -3,839,600


Ingersoll-Rand Plc (IR)                     [Indices near +3.0, near zero,
                                            or < zero bear special attention.]
P/E Ratio Tests:
P/E Ratio < 28?            1.4530          P/E Ratio > 5?             1.0000
P/E Ratio Vs Growth Rate:  3.0000          Forward P/E Ratio < 28?    1.7555
Price/Sales Ratio < 2.3?   1.3939          Inventory/Sales < 5%?      0.4564
Sales < $1 Billion?        0.0704          Operating Margin < 7.5%?   0.6188

Balance Sheet Tests:
Debt/Equity < 0.40?        0.6565          Long-Term Debt Service:    2.0470
LTD Being Reduced?         3.0000          Short-Term Debt Service:  -3.0000
Current Ratio > 2?         0.5172          Working Capital >= 1.5?    1.4694
Leverage Ratio < 20%?      0.4139          Debt/Assets < 1?           3.0000
Quick Ratio > 1?           3.0000          Inventory Turnover > 1?    0.1247
Share Equity Increase:     2.2169          Market Cap.< 1.5 Billion?  0.0622
                                           Intangibles < 3% Assets?   0.0563
Income Tests:
Profit Margin < 7.5%?      1.1946          EPS Annual Growth > 10%?   0.1133
Dividend Yield > 2.0%?     0.8658          EPS 3-yr Growth > 15?      0.0765
Enterprise Value/Revenue   1.6977          EPS Growth Consistent?     0.0000
Enterprise Value/EBITDA:   3.0000          Collection < 45 days?      0.6909
EPS Qrtly Growth > 10%?    0.0357          Gross Pft/Cur. LTD > 1?    1.0907
                                           Borrowing Int. Rate < 6%? -0.8222
Stock Performance Tests:
Volatility > 25%?          0.7826          % Held by Insiders < 5%?   3.0000
Beta > 1.25?               1.1920          % Held by Institut. < 50?  0.5959
50 Da MA > 200 Da MA?      0.0719          % Held by Institut. > 30?  2.7970
52-Wk Change vs. S&P 500:  0.7903          Short Ratio > 5?           0.4140
Price/Book Value < 3?      0.8810          Short % of Float > 20?     0.0615
Return on Assets > 17%?    0.3647          Average Volume > 100,000?  3.0000

Cash Flow Tests:
Oper. C.F. > Lever'd C.F:  1.6736          Positive Free Cash Flow?   3.0000
Positive Oper. Cash Flow?  3.0000          Price to C.F.Ratio < 14?:  1.9347
                                           Cash Flow / Assets > 10%?  1.8327

IR     Ingersoll-Rand Plc                  Overall Zenith Index:      1.1563


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Financial Statements

INGERSOLL-RAND PLC  (IR)                    INCOME STATEMENT

Fiscal year ends in December.                        2013-12         2014-12         2015-12         2016-12         2017-12             TTM           

Revenue                                       12,350,499,840  12,891,400,192  13,300,700,160  13,508,899,840  14,197,600,256  15,030,800,384
Cost of revenue                                8,675,500,032   8,982,800,384   9,301,600,256   9,329,300,480   9,811,600,384  10,416,700,416
Gross profit                                   3,675,000,064   3,908,600,064   3,999,099,904   4,179,599,872   4,385,999,872   4,614,099,968


Operating expenses
Sales, General and administrative              2,569,999,872   2,503,899,904   2,541,100,032   2,606,500,096   2,751,699,968   2,864,000,000
Total operating expenses                       2,569,999,872   2,503,899,904   2,541,100,032   2,606,500,096   2,751,699,968   2,864,000,000

Operating income                               1,104,999,936   1,404,700,032   1,458,000,000   1,573,100,032   1,634,300,032   1,750,099,968
Interest Expense                                 278,800,000     225,300,000     223,000,000     221,500,000     215,800,000     230,900,000
Other income (expense)                             3,400,000      30,000,000      12,900,000     389,700,000        -600,000       3,400,000
Income before taxes                              829,600,000   1,209,400,064   1,247,900,032   1,741,299,968   1,417,900,032   1,522,599,936
Provision for income taxes                       189,000,000     293,700,000     540,800,000     281,500,000      80,200,000      74,400,000
Net income from continuing operations            640,600,000     915,699,968     707,100,032   1,459,800,064   1,337,699,968   1,448,199,936
Net income from discontinuing ops                 13,300,000      34,700,000     -24,300,000      32,900,000     -25,400,000     -42,500,000
Other                                            -35,100,000     -18,700,000     -18,200,000     -16,500,000      -9,700,000     -10,300,000
Net income                                       618,800,000     931,699,968     664,600,000   1,476,199,936   1,302,599,936   1,395,399,936
Net income available to common shareholders      618,800,000     931,699,968     664,600,000   1,476,199,936   1,302,599,936   1,395,399,936

Earnings per share
Basic                                                   2.11            3.44            2.51            5.70            5.11            5.55 
Diluted                                                 2.07            3.40            2.48            5.65            5.05            5.49 

Weighted average shares outstanding
Basic                                            294,100,000     270,500,000     265,100,000     259,200,000     254,900,000     250,400,000
Diluted                                          298,300,000     274,300,000     267,800,000     261,700,000     258,100,000     253,350,000

____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


INGERSOLL-RAND PLC  (IR)                    BALANCE SHEET

Fiscal year ends in December.                        2013-12         2014-12         2015-12         2016-12         2017-12             

Assets

Current assets

Cash

Total cash                                     1,937,200,000   1,705,200,000     736,800,000   1,714,700,032   1,549,400,064

Receivables                                    2,071,500,032   2,119,000,064   2,150,599,936   2,223,000,064   2,477,400,064
Inventories                                    1,166,099,968   1,358,899,968   1,410,700,032   1,385,799,936   1,555,399,936
Deferred income taxes                            359,500,000     299,800,000      58,600,000               0               0
Other current assets                             182,400,000     225,000,000     252,700,000     255,800,000     536,899,968
Total current assets                           5,716,700,160   5,707,899,904   4,609,399,808   5,579,299,840   6,119,099,904

Non-current assets

Property, plant and equipment
Gross property, plant and equipment            2,842,299,904   3,004,199,936   3,233,799,936   3,367,699,968   3,664,300,032
Accumulated Depreciation                      -1,373,900,032  -1,527,200,000  -1,658,700,032  -1,856,700,032  -2,112,999,936
Net property, plant and equipment              1,468,400,000   1,476,999,936   1,575,100,032   1,511,000,064   1,551,299,968

Goodwill                                       5,540,599,808   5,389,799,936   5,730,200,064   5,658,399,744   5,935,699,968
Intangible assets                              3,921,999,872   3,783,899,904   3,926,099,968   3,785,100,032   3,742,899,968
Other long-term assets                         1,010,400,000     939,900,032     898,000,000     863,600,000     824,300,032
Total non-current assets                      11,941,399,552  11,590,599,680  12,129,399,808  11,818,099,712  12,054,200,320

Total assets                                  17,658,099,712  17,298,499,584  16,738,799,616  17,397,399,552  18,173,300,736 

Liabilities and stockholders' equity

Liabilities

Current liabilities
Short-term debt                                  367,700,000     482,700,000     504,200,000     360,800,000   1,107,000,064
Accounts payable                               1,163,000,064   1,290,000,000   1,249,299,968   1,334,000,000   1,556,099,968
Taxes payable                                     61,400,000               0               0               0               0
Accrued liabilities                            1,311,299,968   1,421,900,032   1,457,500,032   1,425,699,968   1,655,200,000
Other current liabilities                        505,200,000     471,500,000     437,400,000     469,800,000     509,700,000
Total current liabilities                      3,408,600,064   3,666,099,968   3,648,399,872   3,590,299,904   4,828,000,256

Non-current liabilities
Long-term debt                                 3,153,499,904   3,741,700,096   3,734,799,872   3,709,400,064   2,956,999,936
Deferred taxes liabilities                     1,335,800,064   1,174,300,032     896,099,968     884,899,968     757,500,032
Minority interest                                 62,400,000      58,000,000      62,500,000      74,500,000      66,600,000
Other long-term liabilities                    2,628,900,096   2,671,000,064   2,580,300,032   2,494,500,096   2,423,899,904
Total non-current liabilities                  7,180,599,808   7,645,000,192   7,273,699,840   7,163,299,840   6,205,000,192

Total liabilities                             10,589,200,384  11,311,099,904  10,922,099,712  10,753,599,488  11,032,999,936 

Stockholders' equity

Common stock                                     282,700,000     266,300,000     269,000,000     271,700,000     274,000,000
Additional paid-in capital                       158,400,000      97,100,000     223,300,000     346,500,000     461,300,000
Retained earnings                              6,794,500,096   6,540,800,000   6,897,900,032   8,018,800,128   8,903,199,744
Treasury stock                                             0    -202,500,000    -452,600,000    -702,700,032  -1,719,399,936
Accumulated other comprehensive income          -166,700,000    -714,300,032  -1,120,899,968  -1,290,499,968    -778,800,000
Total stockholders' equity                     7,068,899,840   5,987,400,192   5,816,699,904   6,643,800,064   7,140,299,776
Total liabilities and stockholders' equity    17,658,099,712  17,298,499,584  16,738,799,616  17,397,399,552  18,173,300,736

____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


INGERSOLL-RAND PLC  (IR)                    Statement of CASH FLOW

Fiscal year ends in December. USD.                   2013-12         2014-12         2015-12         2016-12         2017-12             TTM           

Cash Flows From Operating Activities
Net income                                       640,600,000     915,699,968     707,100,032   1,459,800,064   1,337,699,968   1,448,199,936
Depreciation & amortization                      333,700,000     332,400,000     364,100,000     352,200,000     353,300,000     367,000,000
Investment/asset impairment charges                        0               0               0               0       8,400,000               0
Deferred income taxes                             29,400,000               0               0               0               0               0
Stock based compensation                          71,800,000               0               0               0               0               0
Change in working capital                       -401,600,000    -221,300,000    -342,700,000     -38,500,000     -80,500,000    -223,600,000
Accounts receivable                             -214,300,000    -119,900,000     -79,800,000    -101,300,000    -156,700,000               0
Inventory                                        -39,400,000    -230,000,000      -6,300,000      26,800,000    -112,400,000               0
Accounts payable                                 141,000,000     157,200,000     -41,000,000     103,600,000     167,200,000               0
Other working capital                           -288,900,000     -28,600,000    -215,600,000     -67,600,000      21,400,000    -223,600,000
Other non-cash items                             496,500,000     -53,600,000     122,600,000    -273,300,000     -95,400,000     -95,900,000
Net cash provided by operating activities      1,170,400,000     973,200,000     851,100,032   1,500,199,936   1,523,500,032   1,495,699,968

Cash Flows From Investing Activities
Investments in property, plant, and equipmen    -242,200,000    -233,500,000    -249,600,000    -182,700,000    -221,300,000    -305,200,000
Property, plant, and equipment reductions         24,300,000      14,400,000      18,500,000       9,500,000       1,500,000               0
Acquisitions, net                                  4,700,000      -8,200,000    -961,800,000     413,300,000    -154,900,000    -396,500,000
Other investing activities                        -2,200,000      30,300,000               0               0               0       1,000,000
Net cash used for investing activities          -215,400,000    -197,000,000  -1,192,899,968     240,100,000    -374,700,000    -700,700,032

Cash Flows From Financing Activities
Debt issued                                    1,547,800,064   1,108,600,064               0               0               0               0
Debt repayment                                -1,264,999,936    -508,000,000     -23,900,000               0               0  -1,115,299,968
Common stock repurchased                      -1,213,200,000  -1,374,899,968    -250,100,000    -250,100,000  -1,016,899,968    -941,800,000
Dividend paid                                   -245,500,000    -264,700,000    -303,300,000    -348,600,000    -430,100,000    -447,100,000
Other financing activities                     1,522,499,968     179,500,000      87,000,000    -106,500,000      14,500,000   1,347,200,000
Net cash provided by (used for) financing        346,600,000    -859,500,032    -490,300,000    -705,200,000  -1,432,499,968  -1,156,999,936

Effect of exchange rate changes                  -72,800,000    -148,700,000    -136,300,000     -57,200,000     118,400,000      21,400,000
Net change in cash                             1,228,800,000    -232,000,000    -968,400,000     977,900,032    -165,300,000    -340,600,000
Cash at beginning of period                      708,400,000   1,937,200,000   1,705,200,000     736,800,000   1,714,700,032   1,310,099,968
Cash at end of period                          1,937,200,000   1,705,200,000     736,800,000   1,714,700,032   1,549,400,064     969,500,032

Free Cash Flow
Operating cash flow                            1,170,400,000     973,200,000     851,100,032   1,500,199,936   1,523,500,032   1,495,699,968
Capital expenditure                             -242,200,000    -233,500,000    -249,600,000    -182,700,000    -221,300,000    -305,200,000
Free cash flow                                   928,200,000     739,699,968     601,500,032   1,317,500,032   1,302,200,064   1,190,499,968
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________





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Average to Current P/E Ratios
              (IR)     Ingersoll-Rand PLC

                               2013    2014    2015    2016    2017

          Annual Earnings:     2.08    3.40    3.05    5.64    5.05
Average Price During Year:    45.55   60.08   63.63   63.30   85.39

                P/E Ratio:    21.90   17.67   20.86   11.22   16.91

 Average 5-Year P/E Ratio  =  17.71
             Current Price =  98.25

Previous 5 Quarter Earnings:   1.38    1.43    1.81    0.48    1.79

           Current Annualized (Last Four Quarters) Earnings =   4.08
                                                           ________
                                 Average PE / Current PE =     0.74
                                                           --------

                                      ...a number above 1.00 is good
                                                1.00 or below is bad


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Financial Ratios

. . . . . . . . . . . . Lowest to Highest, Compared to Industry



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Market Grader

900
901 902 903 904 905 906 907 908 909 910



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Intrinsic Value (DCF)

Intrinsic Value by Discounted Cash Flow Method:

Intrinsic Value



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Fair Value Estimator

Fair Value Estimate:

Fair ValueFair Value



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Projected Earnings

Earnings Estimates
Earnings Estimates



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Research Reports

Click Here for Research Reports



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Analysts' Opinions

Analysts' Opinion 1
Analysts' Opinion 1
Analysts' Opinion 1
Analysts' Opinion 1
Analysts' Opinion 1
Analysts' Opinion 2



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Insider Activity

Insiders Chart Insider Trades
Insider Trades
Executive Compensation Executive Compensation



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Institutional Activity

Institutional Orders to Buy or Sell:

institutions 1
Ownership:

institutions 2


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Sentiment

sentiment

Zenith uses the "sentiment" score above or below 50 to award a positive or negative point in the Decision Matrix.

sentiment sentiment sentiment



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Short Interest Ratio

As the short interest rises as a percentage of average daily share volume (Days to Cover), this is considered a measure of negative sentiment. Similarly, a decrease in that percentage is considered positive sentiment.

short interest short interest


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Standard & Poor's

S&P Stock Report (Requires Adobe Acrobat Reader)



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Management's Discussion of Results of Operations Excerpts

Click Here for Management's Discussion Excerpts



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Channeling Potential

 
The summary below includes a value for `Degree,' which refers on a
scale of 1 to 10 the range of a channel in the period under consi-
deration compared to the total range of price movement. It also looks
for the last closing price to be within the channel, otherwise zeroed.
The `Index' is the `Degree' weighted for volatility.  Generally, the
the higher the index, the more suitable is the stock for trading as
a `rolling stock' between channel high and low points.

Results for INGERSOL-RAND PLC:
Symbol? IR
Total Months Available:  25
       Months in Cycle?   4

Months Covered by Periods:  12

Period 1           Period 2          Period 3
   H1      L1        H2      L2        H3      L3
  96.23   83.07     97.67   83.61     98.81   79.63

RANGE   =  98.81  TO   79.63            Close =  97.72
CHANNEL =  96.23  TO   83.61           Degree =   7
Volatility =  12.91%                    Index =   9
Channel Chart



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MACD Histogram Divergence

The theory is that connecting the two most recent peaks or valleys of the MACD histogram will signal the direction of the next major move.



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Intraday Chart

2 Days:



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Val Idea

2 out of 8 favorable, (negative opinion.)

Val Idea


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Stock Consultant

Stock Consultant Stock Consultant


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Point & Figure Chart

P & F Chart


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Wall Street Analyzer





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Marketspace Chart

Marketspace Chart



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Time Series Forecast

Time Series 1 Time Series 2


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Neural Network Prediction

"Neurostock" can only track long trades. Therefore its performance, as tracked by itself on stocks which are consistently falling, may not appear as good as it could if each "sell" signal were a "short sale."

Neural Chart
Heading
Neural Trades Neural Prediction



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Ultimate Trading Systems

3 out of 3 of the ultimate systems favor an upmove.


System Below:
Short term outlook: Positive: Bright Green, Negative: Bright Red
Long term outlook: Postive: Dark Green, Negative: Dark Red.




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Recommendation

Decision Weighting Factors
FactorsWeighted Points
News + 1
Comparison - 1
Industry + 1
Bond Issue + 1
Zenith Index - 1
Non-GAAP vs. GAAP Earnings - 1
Cash Flow - 1
Average to Current P/E - 1
Ratios + 1
Market Grader - 1
Intrinsic Value DCF - 1
Fair Value Estimator - 1
Projected Earnings + 1
Research Reports + 1
Analysts + 1
Executive Perquisites - 1
Insider Activity - 1
Institutional Activity + 1
Management Reporting + 1
Short Interest + 1
Sentiment + 1
Standard & Poor's + 1
MACD Histogram Divergence + 1
Val Idea - 1
Stock Consultant - 1
Point & Figure + 1
Wall Street Analyzer - 1
Marketspace Chart + 1
Time Series Chart + 1
Neural Network + 1
Stock Options + 1
Ultimate Trading Systems + 1
Total + 6
Place 305 shares of Ingersol-Rand PLC (IR) on the Active List.