10-28-2019: Intelligent Systems, Inc. (INS): Software for Accounting Issues

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Recommendation

Intelligent Systems, Inc.

Get your brain in gear to try to analyze this stock. Intelligent Systems Inc. (INS) has been around for forty years in one form or another according to its website. However, it was primarily a maker of washing equipment for grease and solvent removal for automotive and military mechanical equipment parts. In 2015, it sold that ChemFree Corporation to focus on production of software for analyzing accounting statements, a totally unrelated business. If you had bought company stock in that year and held it, you would have made over 14 times your investment by today. This is all the more remarkable to us because if you visit the company website, it is rather hard to tell exactly what the company does. For a software company, we felt the website had broken links, things that didn't work, little explanation, very little information to interest potential shareholders, no CEO Letter or glitzy annual report. There is also another larger "Intelligent Systems" foreign-based company out there that can easily be confused with this one. This one is based in Georgia's Atlanta area but has offices, sales, and research staff in foreign countries like India, where technical competence in information technology often exceeds what can be found in the U.S.

This is an AMEX stock, but the meddling Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) acquired both the NYSE and the AMEX, so technically this is also an NYSE stock.

The business it is now in is one of the most competitive out there with more than a score of competing companies, but this one has stock performing at the top of the heap. It has acquired several billion dollar major customers like banks, and some analyst view it as a prime candidate for a buyout or merger from another corporation.

Executives are exceptionally modestly compensated. The balance sheet looks good to us, the company has a very high Zenith Index, but we question some of the company reporting. So do a slew of attornies currently engaging in a class-action lawsuit claiming company officers misrepresented prospects in a recent study.

Holding this comany back from getting one of our top ratings is a slew of technical indicators or chart pattern which indicates toppiness and possible correction coming. We are already seeing some signs of it in multiple tops. Standard & Poor's gives the corporation its highest recommendations except for one category, "Financial Health." How they come up with that exception is unclear and disagrees with data we see elsewhere, but S&P has been known to go its own way against other researchers, sometimes on stocks that have subsequently performed very well.

Some research we normally use on this stock is somewhat hard to find but apparently researchers are neutral to slightly positive, while one analyst is very positive. Institutions are net acquirers and seeing some further potential.

We also note the absence of stock options and stock option perquisites, which for a company this size (average trading volume) could be a very good sign. We would rate insider activity as positive if for no other reason than the absence of it recently, with officers holding significant shares.

This stock can definitely be traded in ranges, showing oscillatory characteristics, although in the long haul it definitely appears more as a buy and hold stock.



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Bond Issue

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Zenith Index

Under current market conditions, a Zenith Index Score of 1.20 or above is required for a positive rating on this factor. 1.21 -1.30 is considered acceptable, 1.30-1.40 is considered strong and
> 1.40 is considered exceptionally strong. Accounting statements in this section often contain mistakes, especially in earlier years' totals, but data is deemed sufficient for us to give a rating. More accurate financial statements follow in the next section.

Intelligent Systems Corporation (INS)                     Exchange: NYSE A
4355 Shackleford Road
Norcross, GA 30093               Sector: Technology
United States                    Industry: Software - Infrastructure

Intelligent Systems Corporation, through its subsidiary, CoreCard
Software, Inc., provides technology solutions and processing services to
the financial technology and services market in the United States and
European Union. The company designs, develops, and markets a suite of
software solutions to accounts receivable businesses, financial
institutions, retailers, and processors. Its software solutions allow
companies to offer various types of debit and credit cards, as well as
installment and revolving loans; to set up and maintain account data; to
record advances and payments; to assess fees, interests, and other
charges; to resolve disputes and chargebacks; to manage collections of
accounts receivable; to generate reports; and to settle transactions
with financial institutions and network associations. The software also
allows managing prepaid cards, private label cards, fleet cards, bank
cards, and loyalty programs. The company's CoreCard software platform
and modules include CoreENGINE, CoreISSUE, CoreFraud, CoreCOLLECT,
CoreAPP, COREMONEY, and CoreACQUIRE. Intelligent Systems Corporation was
founded in 1973 and is headquartered in Norcross, Georgia.

Last Trade:  44.54                           52-Week Range:  56.24 -   9.35
Employees: 430                               Avg.Volume:     103,676 Shares

Corporate Governance:
Pillar scores are Audit: 5; Board: 10; Shareholder Rights: 4; Compensation: 6.
         (A lower number means less governance risk.)

EPS:  0.94    Dividend Amount: $ 0.00          Yield:  0.00%
             Ex-Dividend Date: Jan 26, 2016    Payout Ratio:   0.00

Key Statistics:

    Trailing P/E:  47.55              Forward P/E (est.):  35.44
                                           Target Price:  55.00

Qrtly Stock Price Growth (yoy): 350.81%               Beta:   2.05
Qrtly S&P Index   Growth (yoy):  64.30%        Short Ratio:   7.42%
    Qrtly Revenue Growth (yoy):  52.00%         Shares Out:  8850000
   Qrtly Earnings Growth (yoy):  99.20%

          Book Value:   3.41                    Debt/Equity:   3.68%
    Price/Book Value:  13.08        Operating Profit Margin:  35.48%
         Price/Sales:  15.23                  Profit Margin:  32.65%
         Market Cap:     395,221,000       Return on Equity:  32.80%
    Enterprise Value:     396,640,000      Return on Assets:  19.11%

    Operating Cash Flow:          6,656
         Free Cash Flow:          4,645

Annual Income Statement:                          (All numbers in thousands)
  Period Ending                             12/31/2018  12/31/2017  12/31/2016

  Total Revenue                                 20,100       9,302       8,178
  Cost of Revenue                                8,524       4,495       3,978
  Gross Profit                                  11,576       4,807       4,200

Operating Expenses:
  Research & Development                         3,353       4,367       2,740
  Selling, General & Administrative              2,081       1,843       2,147
  Total Operating Expenses                       5,434       6,210       4,887

Operating Income or Loss                         6,142      -1,403        -687

Income from Continuing Operations:
  Total Other Income/Expenses Net                  106       1,904        -565
  Interest Expense                                   0           0           0
  Income Before Taxes                            6,248         501      -1,252
  Income Tax Expense                                 4          28          -3

Net Income from Continuing Op.s                  6,244         473      -1,249

Non-recurring Events:
  Extraordinary Items                                0           0        -137
  Net Income                                     6,244         473      -1,112

Net Income Avail to Common Shares                6,244         473      -1,112



Annual Cash Flow Statement:                   (All numbers in thousands)
  Period Ending                         12/31/2018    12/31/2017    12/31/2016

  Net Income                                 6,244           473        -1,249

Operating Activities:
  Depreciation                                 614           330           248
  Changes in Accounts Recv'bls              -2,523           121          -367
  Changes in Liabilities                     5,791        -3,361        -1,690
  Changes in Inventories                         0             0             0
  Changes in other Oper'g Acts                -313        -1,612        -1,081

Total Cash Flow f Operations                 6,656        -2,467        -1,377

Investing Activities:
  Capital Exenditures                         -865          -894          -313
  Investments                                    0        -1,000           -50
  Other Cash Flows fr Investing             -1,035        -1,250             0

Total Cash Flows from Investing             -1,900        -1,208         4,085

Financing Activities:
  Dividends Paid                                 0             0        -3,056
  Sale of Purchase of Stock                      0             0             0
  Other Cash Flows fr Financing                  0             0             0

Total Cash Flows from Financing                111             0        -3,042

Change in Cash & Cash Equiv.                 4,895        -3,700          -335


Annual Balance Sheets:                              (All Numbers in Thousands)
  Period Ending                          12/31/2018    12/31/2017    12/31/2016
Current Assets:
  Cash & Cash Equivalents                    14,024        17,724        18,059
  Short Term Investments                        438           418           396
  Net Receivables                             1,208         1,329           962
  Inventory                                       0             0             0
  Other Current Assets                        2,373         1,160         2,846
  Total Current Assets                       18,059        20,631        24,463

  Long-Term Investments                       2,980         2,158         2,941
  Property, Plant & Equipt                    1,262           700           636
  Goodwill                                        0             0             0
  Intangible Assets                               0             0             0
  Other Assets                                  173           101            59

Total Assets                                 21,779        22,704        26,173

Current Liabilities:
  Accounts Payable                              321           301            78
  Current Portion LT Debt                       693           558           520
  Other Current Liabilities                     408         1,338           363
  Total Current Liabilities                   2,275         3,671          2,791

  Long Term Debt                                  0             0             0
  Other Liabilities                               0            18            18

Total Liabilities                             2,326         3,774         3,004

Stockholder Equity:
  Common Stock                                   88            87            87
  Retained Earnings                           4,631         4,158         5,270
  Capital Surplus                              -143          -163          -184
  Total Stockholder Equity                   19,453        21,946        26,048


Intelligent Systems Corporation (INS)       [Indices near +3.0, near zero,
                                            or < zero bear special attention.]
P/E Ratio Tests:
P/E Ratio < 28?            0.5889          P/E Ratio > 5?             1.0000
P/E Ratio Vs Growth Rate:  3.0000          Forward P/E Ratio < 28?    0.7901
Price/Sales Ratio < 2.3?   0.1510          Inventory/Sales < 5%?      1.0000
Sales < $1 Billion?        3.0000          Operating Margin < 7.5%?   0.2114

Balance Sheet Tests:
Debt/Equity < 0.40?        3.0000          Long-Term Debt Service:    3.0000
LTD Being Reduced?         0.0000          Short-Term Debt Service:   3.0000
Current Ratio > 2?         3.0000          Working Capital >= 1.5?    0.1915
Leverage Ratio < 20%?      3.0000          Debt/Assets < 1?           3.0000
Quick Ratio > 1?           3.0000          Inventory Turnover > 1?    1.0000
Share Equity Increase:     1.7289          Market Cap.< 1.5 Billion?  3.0000
                                           Intangibles < 3% Assets?   3.0000
Income Tests:
Profit Margin < 7.5%?      3.0000          EPS Annual Growth > 10%?   0.0076
Dividend Yield > 2.0%?     0.0000          EPS 3-yr Growth > 15?     -0.0267
Enterprise Value/Revenue   3.0000          EPS Growth Consistent?     2.0000
Enterprise Value/EBITDA:   3.0000          Collection < 45 days?      2.0514
EPS Qrtly Growth > 10%?    0.0010          Gross Pft/Cur. LTD > 1?    3.0000
                                           Borrowing Int. Rate < 6%?  3.0000
Stock Performance Tests:
Volatility > 25%?          3.0000          % Held by Insiders < 5%?   0.1258
Beta > 1.25?               1.6400          % Held by Institut. < 50?  1.4837
50 Da MA > 200 Da MA?      0.3745          % Held by Institut. > 30?  1.1233
52-Wk Change vs. S&P 500:  3.0000          Short Ratio > 5?           1.4840
Price/Book Value < 3?      3.0000          Short % of Float > 20?     1.1225
Return on Assets > 17%?    1.1241          Average Volume > 100,000?  1.0368

Cash Flow Tests:
Oper. C.F. > Lever'd C.F:  1.4329          Positive Free Cash Flow?   3.0000
Positive Oper. Cash Flow?  3.0000          Price to C.F.Ratio < 14?:  0.3070
                                           Cash Flow / Assets > 10%?  3.0000

INS    Intelligent Systems Corporation     Overall Zenith Index:      1.7949


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Financial Statements

INTELLIGENT SYSTEMS CORP  (INS)             INCOME STATEMENT

Fiscal year ends in December.                        2014-12         2015-12         2016-12         2017-12         2018-12             TTM           

Revenue                                           14,586,000       4,782,000       8,178,000       9,302,000      20,100,000      25,947,000
Cost of revenue                                    7,851,000       2,550,000       3,978,000       4,495,000       8,524,000      10,172,000
Gross profit                                       6,735,000       2,232,000       4,200,000       4,807,000      11,576,000      15,775,000


Operating expenses
Research and development                           3,207,000       2,877,000       2,740,000       4,367,000       3,353,000       3,750,000
Sales, General and administrative                  4,709,000       2,177,000       2,147,000       1,843,000       2,081,000       2,818,000
Total operating expenses                           7,916,000       5,054,000       4,887,000       6,210,000       5,434,000       6,568,000

Operating income                                  -1,181,000      -2,822,000        -687,000      -1,403,000       6,142,000       9,207,000
Other income (expense)                               179,000       1,356,000        -565,000       1,904,000         106,000         476,000
Income before taxes                               -1,002,000      -1,466,000      -1,252,000         501,000       6,248,000       9,683,000
Provision for income taxes                            53,000           3,000          -3,000          28,000           4,000       1,210,000
Net income from continuing operations             -1,055,000      -1,469,000      -1,249,000         473,000       6,244,000       8,473,000
Net income from discontinuing ops                    100,000      18,799,000               0               0               0               0
Other                                                879,000         690,000         137,000               0               0               0
Net income                                           -76,000      18,020,000      -1,112,000         473,000       6,244,000       8,473,000
Net income available to common shareholders          -76,000      18,020,000      -1,112,000         473,000       6,244,000       8,473,000

Earnings per share
Basic                                                  -0.01            2.05           -0.13            0.05            0.71            0.96 
Diluted                                                -0.01            2.02           -0.13            0.05            0.70            0.94 

Weighted average shares outstanding
Basic                                              8,958,028       8,806,875       8,736,299       8,766,425       8,796,321       8,827,071
Diluted                                            8,958,028       8,912,109       8,736,299       8,881,814       8,948,518       8,998,474

____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


INTELLIGENT SYSTEMS CORP  (INS)             BALANCE SHEET

Fiscal year ends in December.                        2014-12         2015-12         2016-12         2017-12         2018-12             

Assets

Current assets

Cash

Short-term investments                               463,000         396,000         418,000         438,000         349,000
Total cash                                         3,087,000      18,455,000      18,142,000      14,462,000      19,268,000

Receivables                                        1,777,000         962,000       1,329,000       1,208,000       3,731,000
Inventories                                        1,042,000               0               0               0               0
Other current assets                                 509,000       5,046,000       1,160,000       2,389,000       1,783,000
Total current assets                               6,415,000      24,463,000      20,631,000      18,059,000      24,782,000

Non-current assets

Property, plant and equipment
Gross property, plant and equipment                5,049,000       2,941,000       2,158,000       2,980,000       3,828,000
Accumulated Depreciation                          -3,980,000      -2,305,000      -1,458,000      -1,718,000      -2,315,000
Net property, plant and equipment                  1,069,000         636,000         700,000       1,262,000       1,513,000

Equity and other investments                       1,605,000       1,015,000       1,272,000       1,035,000         760,000
Intangible assets                                     19,000               0               0               0               0
Other long-term assets                                97,000          59,000         101,000       1,423,000       2,249,000
Total non-current assets                           2,790,000       1,710,000       2,073,000       3,720,000       4,522,000

Total assets                                       9,205,000      26,173,000      22,704,000      21,779,000      29,304,000 

Liabilities and stockholders' equity

Liabilities

Current liabilities
Accounts payable                                     280,000          78,000         301,000         321,000         272,000
Taxes payable                                              0               0               0               0         284,000
Accrued liabilities                                1,016,000         520,000         558,000         693,000       1,216,000
Deferred revenues                                    636,000       1,830,000       1,474,000         853,000         781,000
Other current liabilities                            274,000         363,000       1,338,000         408,000         719,000
Total current liabilities                          2,206,000       2,791,000       3,671,000       2,275,000       3,272,000

Non-current liabilities
Deferred revenues                                    191,000         195,000          85,000          51,000         111,000
Minority interest                                 -2,189,000      -2,879,000      -3,016,000               0               0
Other long-term liabilities                          230,000          18,000          18,000               0               0
Total non-current liabilities                     -1,768,000      -2,666,000      -2,913,000          51,000         111,000

Total liabilities                                    438,000         125,000         758,000       2,326,000       3,383,000 

Stockholders' equity

Common stock                                          90,000          87,000          87,000          88,000          88,000
Additional paid-in capital                        21,537,000      20,875,000      17,864,000      14,877,000      15,050,000
Retained earnings                                -12,750,000       5,270,000       4,158,000       4,631,000      10,875,000
Accumulated other comprehensive income              -110,000        -184,000        -163,000        -143,000         -92,000
Total stockholders' equity                         8,767,000      26,048,000      21,946,000      19,453,000      25,921,000
Total liabilities and stockholders' equity         9,205,000      26,173,000      22,704,000      21,779,000      29,304,000

____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


INTELLIGENT SYSTEMS CORP  (INS)             Statement of CASH FLOW

Fiscal year ends in December. USD.                   2014-12         2015-12         2016-12         2017-12         2018-12             TTM           

Cash Flows From Operating Activities
Net income                                          -855,000      -1,469,000      -1,249,000         473,000       6,244,000       8,473,000
Depreciation & amortization                          398,000         217,000         248,000         330,000         614,000         789,000
Investments losses (gains)                          -127,000       1,005,000         750,000         103,000         363,000               0
Deferred income taxes                                      0               0               0               0        -280,000               0
Stock based compensation                              49,000          19,000          31,000          52,000          62,000         116,000
Change in working capital                            -47,000      -1,852,000      -1,081,000      -1,612,000        -313,000       5,404,000
Accounts receivable                                  650,000        -461,000        -367,000         121,000      -2,523,000        -671,000
Inventory                                             64,000               0               0               0               0               0
Accounts payable                                    -192,000         -12,000         223,000          20,000         -49,000         162,000
Accrued liabilities                                 -387,000         -86,000          38,000         135,000         523,000         251,000
Other working capital                               -182,000      -1,293,000        -975,000      -1,888,000       1,736,000       5,662,000
Other non-cash items                                   1,000        -175,000         -76,000      -1,813,000         -34,000        -217,000
Net cash provided by operating activities           -581,000      -2,255,000      -1,377,000      -2,467,000       6,656,000      14,565,000

Cash Flows From Investing Activities
Investments in property, plant, and equipmen        -277,000        -272,000        -313,000        -894,000        -865,000      -1,871,000
Acquisitions, net                                    171,000        -430,000       4,398,000         936,000               0               0
Purchases of investments                            -132,000               0               0               0               0               0
Other investing activities                                 0      19,082,000               0      -1,250,000      -1,035,000      -1,575,000
Net cash used for investing activities              -238,000      18,380,000       4,085,000      -1,208,000      -1,900,000      -3,446,000

Cash Flows From Financing Activities
Common stock repurchased                                   0        -692,000               0               0               0               0
Dividend paid                                              0               0      -3,056,000               0               0               0
Other financing activities                                 0           8,000          14,000               0         111,000         136,000
Net cash provided by (used for) financing                  0        -684,000      -3,042,000               0         111,000         136,000

Effect of exchange rate changes                       10,000          -6,000          -1,000         -25,000          28,000         -23,000
Net change in cash                                  -809,000      15,435,000        -335,000      -3,700,000       4,895,000      11,232,000
Cash at beginning of period                        3,433,000       2,624,000      18,059,000      17,724,000      14,024,000      10,643,000
Cash at end of period                              2,624,000      18,059,000      17,724,000      14,024,000      18,919,000      21,875,000

Free Cash Flow
Operating cash flow                                 -581,000      -2,255,000      -1,377,000      -2,467,000       6,656,000      14,565,000
Capital expenditure                                 -277,000        -272,000        -313,000        -894,000        -865,000      -1,871,000
Free cash flow                                      -858,000      -2,527,000      -1,690,000      -3,361,000       5,791,000      12,694,000



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Average to Current P/E Ratios
              (INS)     Intelligent Systems Corp.

                               2014    2015    2016    2017    2018

          Annual Earnings:    -0.01   -0.09   -0.13    0.04    0.70
Average Price During Year:     1.57    2.72    3.73    4.27   11.75

                P/E Ratio:   157.08   30.22   28.72  106.73   16.79

 Average 5-Year P/E Ratio  =  67.91
             Current Price =  44.94

Previous 5 Quarter Earnings:   0.12    0.21    0.27    0.23    0.23

          Current Annualized (Last Four Quarters) Earnings =   0.73
                                                           ________
                                 Average PE / Current PE =     1.10
                                                           --------

                                      ...a number above 1.00 is good
                                                1.00 or below is bad


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Financial Ratios

. . . . . . . . . . . . Lowest to Highest, Compared to Industry



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Intrinsic Value (DCF)

Intrinsic Value by Discounted Cash Flow Method:

Intrinsic Value



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Fair Value Estimate:

Fair Value



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Projected Earnings

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Research Reports

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Insider Activity

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Institutional Activity

Institutional Ownership:

institutions 1
Mutual Fund Ownership:

institutions 2


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Sentiment

sentiment

Zenith uses the "sentiment" score above or below 50 to award a positive or negative point in the Decision Matrix.

sentiment sentiment sentiment



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Short Interest Ratio

As the short interest rises as a percentage of average daily share volume (Days to Cover), this is considered a measure of negative sentiment. Similarly, a decrease in that percentage is considered positive sentiment.

short interest short interest


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Standard & Poor's

S&P Stock Report (Requires Adobe Acrobat Reader)



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Management's Discussion of Results of Operations Excerpts

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Channeling Potential

 
The summary below includes a value for `Degree,' which refers on a
scale of 1 to 10 the range of a channel in the period under consi-
deration compared to the total range of price movement. It also looks
for the last closing price to be within the channel, otherwise zeroed.
The `Index' is the `Degree' weighted for volatility.  Generally, the
the higher the index, the more suitable is the stock for trading as
a `rolling stock' between channel high and low points.

Results for INTELLIGENT SYSTEMS CORP.:
Symbol? INS
Total Months Available:  97
       Months in Cycle?   4

Months Covered by Periods:  12

Period 1           Period 2          Period 3
   H1      L1        H2      L2        H3      L3
  26.13    9.35     48.93   17.16     56.24   25.68

RANGE   =  56.24  TO    9.35            Close =  44.97
CHANNEL =  26.13  TO   25.68           Degree =   0
Volatility =   1.00%                    Index =   0
Channel Chart



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MACD Histogram Divergence

The theory is that connecting the two most recent peaks or valleys of the MACD histogram will signal the direction of the next major move.



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Intraday Chart

2 Days:



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Val Idea

2 out of 9 favorable, (negative opinion.)

Val Idea
Val Idea


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Stock Consultant

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Point & Figure Chart

P & F Chart


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Wall Street Analyzer



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Marketspace Chart

Marketspace Chart



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Time Series Forecast

Time Series 1 Time Series 2


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Neural Network Prediction

"Neurostock" can only track long trades. Therefore its performance, as tracked by itself on stocks which are consistently falling, may not appear as good as it could if each "sell" signal were a "short sale."

Neural Chart
Heading
Neural Trades Neural Prediction



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Ultimate Trading Systems

3 out of 3 of the ultimate systems favor a downmove.


System Below:
Short term outlook: Positive: Bright Green, Negative: Bright Red
Long term outlook: Postive: Dark Green, Negative: Dark Red.




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Recommendation

Decision Weighting Factors
FactorsWeighted Points
News + 1
Comparison - 1
Industry + 1
Bond Issue 0
Zenith Index + 1
Non-GAAP vs. GAAP Earnings - 1
Cash Flow + 1
Average to Current P/E + 1
Ratios + 1
Intrinsic Value DCF - 1
Fair Value Estimator - 1
Projected Earnings + 1
Research Reports + 1
Analysts + 1
Executive Perquisites + 1
Insider Activity + 1
Institutional Activity + 1
Management Reporting + 1
Short Interest 0
Sentiment + 1
Standard & Poor's + 1
MACD Histogram Divergence + 1
Val Idea - 1
Stock Consultant + 1
Point & Figure + 1
Wall Street Analyzer + 1
Marketspace Chart - 1
Time Series Chart - 1
Neural Network - 1
Stock Options - 1
Ultimate Trading Systems - 1
Total + 9
Place 680 shares of Intelligent Systems, Inc. (INS) on the Active List.