03-13-2020: Everi Holdings, Inc. (EVRI): Liabilities Exceed Assets

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Recommendation

Everi Holdings, Inc.

Everi Holdings (formerly Global Cash Access Holdings, Inc.) (EVRI) had a name change to better reflect its more diversified line of business. It could be considered in the gambling, casino industry, or in the finance industry, or in the computer software business, as it engages in all three. It is based in Las Vegas, and we prefer to think of it as a gambling industry stock. But it arranges for financing and cash processing of customer credits, and produces real casino game products from classical reel machines to video, tournament, and even on-line games.

It handles credit card transactions and provides integrated kiosks to shortcut the cashier window on casino floors.

The company furnishes services to government agencies related to state lotteries. Lately, the company has reported some quarterly losses, and also had losses in 2015 - 2017, but appears to be in a turnaround situation with strong growth potential. The current p/e is around 26.

The stock was particularly hard-hit and damaged during the recent stock market meltdown as of this writing. Charts appear to be straight down for many recent days.

One outstanding feature of this stock is a negative number for total stockholder equity as reported by one unreliable source (Yahoo)!) A second more reliable source, Morningstar, reports zero stockholder equity. To understand this, for an unhealthy company, one needs only the most basic accounting equation: Assets - Liabilities = Shareholder Equity. For EVRI, liabilities exceed assets. We think zero is the more meaningful number as shareholders are not liable for the company's debts. But this is a most unhealthy situation.

The company does have an acceptable Zenith Index propelled by a consistent trend toward increasing earnings on an annual basis.

Despite our Zenith Index marginally passing the stock, researchers are overwhelming negative on the stock. However, a notable exception is Standard & Poor's which likes the stock. This is a weird stock defying some of the basic investment rules we normally follow. Analysts like the stock.

The management reporting is loaded with caveats and explanations for unusual accounting situations. We found it difficult to read or understand. Basically, the company operates in two segments, games and financing, with the latter providing most of the revenue, consistent with the company's forte since founding. Institutions have been heavy acquirers lately. This is significant due to the negative shareholder value, because institutions have larger staffs than we do and have probably researched this more thoroughly in a way which has encouraged them to take on the risk in a rather big way.

The recent chart pattern is overwhelming negative, but recent overall market weakness accounts for poor recent patterns on most stocks. The suggestion we generally make is to wait for some upward momentum to rebuild and re-establish itself before jumping into any stock on the long side. 



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Zenith Index

Under current market conditions, a Zenith Index Score of 1.20 or above is required for a positive rating on this factor. 1.21 -1.30 is considered acceptable, 1.30-1.40 is considered strong and
> 1.40 is considered exceptionally strong. Accounting statements in this section often contain mistakes, especially in earlier years' totals, but data is deemed sufficient for us to give a rating. More accurate financial statements follow in the next section.

 veri Holdings Inc. (EVRI)                                Exchange: NYSE
7250 South Tenaya Way
Suite 100                        Sector: Consumer Cyclical
Las Vegas, NV 89113              Industry: Gambling

Everi Holdings Inc. provides technology solutions for the casino gaming
industry in the United States, Europe, Canada, the Caribbean, Central
America, and Asia. The company operates in two segments, Games and
FinTech. It offers gaming products, such as classic mechanical reel
games, video reel games, core HDX, Empire MPX and the Texan HDX, wide
area progressive games, and slot tournament systems; and sells player
terminals, licenses, back office systems, and other related equipment.
The company also provides Cash access services; Casino Cash Plus 3-in-1
ATM, a cash-dispensing machine that enables ATM cash withdrawals, POS
debit card cash access transactions, and credit card cash access
transactions; check verification and warranty services; CashClub that
provides gaming establishments with a single dashboard interface to
streamline credit and debit card cash access transaction processing and
check warranty transactions; fully integrated kiosks that provide
multiple functions to the casino floor; and other integrated kiosk
solutions. In addition, it offers Everi Compliance, a suite of
compliance software to assist with anti-money laundering regulations;

Key Statistics:

    Trailing P/E:  39.14                      Target Price:  15.17

Qrtly Stock Price Growth (yoy):   1.44%               Beta:   1.81
Qrtly S&P Index   Growth (yoy):  21.50%        Short Ratio:   2.09%
    Qrtly Revenue Growth (yoy):  52.00%         Shares Out:  84460000
   Qrtly Earnings Growth (yoy):   0.00%

          Book Value:   0.64                    Debt/Equity:   2.00%
    Price/Book Value:   0.00        Operating Profit Margin:  18.81%
         Price/Sales:   2.01                  Profit Margin:   3.10%
         Market Cap:     695,087,000       Return on Equity:   0.00%
    Enterprise Value:   1,990,000,000      Return on Assets:   3.95%

    Operating Cash Flow:        294,286
         Free Cash Flow:        170,925



Annual Income Statement:                          (All numbers in thousands)
  Period Ending                             12/31/2018  12/31/2017  12/31/2016

  Total Revenue                                469,515     974,948     859,456
  Cost of Revenue                               94,437     638,545     549,014
  Gross Profit                                 375,078     336,403     310,442

Operating Expenses:
  Research & Development                        20,497      18,862      19,356
  Selling, General & Administrative            142,298     118,935     118,709
  Total Operating Expenses                     289,265     254,584     282,698

Operating Income or Loss                        85,813      81,819      27,744

Income from Continuing Operations:
  Total Other Income/Expenses Net                 -166     -51,750    -146,299
  Interest Expense                                   0     102,136      99,228
  Income Before Taxes                            2,646     -72,067    -217,783
  Income Tax Expense                            -9,710     -20,164      31,696

Net Income from Continuing Op.s                 12,356     -51,903    -249,479

Non-recurring Events:
  Extraordinary Items                                0           0           0
  Net Income                                    12,356     -51,903    -249,479

Net Income Avail to Common Shares               12,356     -51,903    -249,479



Annual Cash Flow Statement:                   (All numbers in thousands)
  Period Ending                         12/31/2018    12/31/2017    12/31/2016

  Net Income                                12,356       -51,903      -249,479

Operating Activities:
  Depreciation                             134,891       124,606       153,325
  Changes in Accounts Recv'bls             -29,320          -884        -8,169
  Changes in Liabilities                   191,255          -662        50,970
  Changes in Inventories                    -3,848        -5,753         5,600
  Changes in other Oper'g Acts             128,266       -36,374        17,893

Total Cash Flow f Operations               294,286        95,828       131,711

Investing Activities:
  Capital Exenditures                     -103,031       -96,490       -80,741
  Investments                                    0             0          -694
  Other Cash Flows fr Investing            -20,556       -13,499       -11,218

Total Cash Flows from Investing           -123,350      -109,979       -88,054

Financing Activities:
  Dividends Paid                                 0             0             0
  Sale of Purchase of Stock                   -123          -123          -123
  Other Cash Flows fr Financing             -1,276       -28,702       -11,218

Total Cash Flows from Financing                 11        22,394       -24,922

Change in Cash & Cash Equiv.               169,577         9,535        17,021



Annual Balance Sheets:                              (All Numbers in Thousands)
  Period Ending                          12/31/2018    12/31/2017    12/31/2016
Current Assets:
  Cash & Cash Equivalents                   128,586       119,051             0
  Short Term Investments                          0             0             0
  Net Receivables                            47,782        51,651             0
  Inventory                                  23,967        19,068             0
  Other Current Assets                        5,241         3,489             0
  Total Current Assets                      448,408       341,639             0

  Long-Term Investments                     251,740       202,842             0
  Property, Plant & Equipt                  113,519        98,439             0
  Goodwill                                  640,589       640,546             0
  Intangible Assets                         324,311       317,997             0
  Other Assets                                2,657         3,434             0

Total Assets                              1,537,074     1,408,163             0

Current Liabilities:
  Accounts Payable                           59,435        55,352             0
  Current Portion LT Debt                    62,507        27,230             0
  Other Current Liabilities                 317,744       239,123             0
  Total Current Liabilities                 460,448       343,514              0

  Long Term Debt                          1,159,643     1,111,880             0
  Other Liabilities                               0             0             0

Total Liabilities                         1,677,707     1,515,956             0

Stockholder Equity:
  Common Stock                                   93            91             0
  Retained Earnings                        -246,202      -194,299             0
  Capital Surplus                              -253        -2,109             0
  Total Stockholder Equity                 -140,633      -107,793             0


Everi Holdings Inc. (EVRI)                  [Indices near +3.0, near zero,
                                            or < zero bear special attention.]
P/E Ratio Tests:
P/E Ratio < 28?            0.7154          P/E Ratio > 5?             1.0000
P/E Ratio Vs Growth Rate:  0.0000          Forward P/E Ratio < 28?    0.0000
Price/Sales Ratio < 2.3?   1.1437          Inventory/Sales < 5%?      0.9795
Sales < $1 Billion?        2.1299          Operating Margin < 7.5%?   0.3987

Balance Sheet Tests:
Debt/Equity < 0.40?        3.0000          Long-Term Debt Service:   -0.1213
LTD Being Reduced?        -3.0000          Short-Term Debt Service:   3.0000
Current Ratio > 2?         0.4869          Working Capital >= 1.5?    1.5608
Leverage Ratio < 20%?      0.0773          Debt/Assets < 1?           1.3255
Quick Ratio > 1?           3.0000          Inventory Turnover > 1?    0.0829
Share Equity Increase:     2.0790          Market Cap.< 1.5 Billion?  2.1580
                                           Intangibles < 3% Assets?   0.0478
Income Tests:
Profit Margin < 7.5%?      0.4133          EPS Annual Growth > 10%?  -0.4201
Dividend Yield > 2.0%?     0.0000          EPS 3-yr Growth > 15?     -3.0000
Enterprise Value/Revenue   1.4826          EPS Growth Consistent?     2.0000
Enterprise Value/EBITDA:   3.0000          Collection < 45 days?      1.2114
EPS Qrtly Growth > 10%?    0.0000          Gross Pft/Cur. LTD > 1?    3.0000
                                           Borrowing Int. Rate < 6%?  3.0000
Stock Performance Tests:
Volatility > 25%?          2.0376          % Held by Insiders < 5%?   3.0000
Beta > 1.25?               1.4480          % Held by Institut. < 50?  0.5383
50 Da MA > 200 Da MA?      0.3977          % Held by Institut. > 30?  3.0000
52-Wk Change vs. S&P 500:  0.0277          Short Ratio > 5?           0.4180
Price/Book Value < 3?      3.0000          Short % of Float > 20?     0.0985
Return on Assets > 17%?    0.2324          Average Volume > 100,000?  3.0000

Cash Flow Tests:
Oper. C.F. > Lever'd C.F:  1.7217          Positive Free Cash Flow?   3.0000
Positive Oper. Cash Flow?  3.0000          Price to C.F.Ratio < 14?:  3.0000
                                           Cash Flow / Assets > 10%?  2.7172

EVRI   Everi Holdings Inc.                 Overall Zenith Index:      1.2530


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Financial Statements

EVERI HOLDINGS INC  (EVRI)                  INCOME STATEMENT

Fiscal year ends in December. USD in thousand        2015-12         2016-12         2017-12         2018-12         2019-12             TTM           

Revenue                                              826,999         859,456         974,948         469,515         533,227         533,227
Cost of revenue                                      510,397         549,014         638,545          94,437         112,386         112,386
Gross profit                                         316,602         310,442         336,403         375,078         420,841         420,841


Operating expenses
Research and development                              19,098          19,356          18,862          20,497          32,505          32,505
Other operating expenses                             232,226         263,342         235,722         268,768         294,319         294,319
Total operating expenses                             251,324         282,698         254,584         289,265         326,824         326,824

Operating income                                      65,278          27,744          81,819          85,813          94,017          94,017
Other income (expense)                              -188,361        -245,527        -153,886         -83,167         -78,023         -78,023
Income before taxes                                 -123,083        -217,783         -72,067           2,646          15,994          15,994
Provision for income taxes                           -18,111          31,696         -20,164          -9,710            -523            -523
Net income from continuing operations               -104,972        -249,479         -51,903          12,356          16,517          16,517
Net income                                          -104,972        -249,479         -51,903          12,356          16,517          16,517
Net income available to common shareholders         -104,972        -249,479         -51,903          12,356          16,517          16,517

Earnings per share
Basic                                                  -1.59           -3.78           -0.78            0.18            0.23            0.23 
Diluted                                                -1.59           -3.78           -0.78            0.17            0.21            0.21 

Weighted average shares outstanding
Basic                                                 65,854          66,050          66,816          69,464          72,376          72,376
Diluted                                               65,854          66,050          66,816          73,796          79,235          79,235

____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


EVERI HOLDINGS INC  (EVRI)                  BALANCE SHEET

Fiscal year ends in December. USD in thousand        2015-12         2016-12         2017-12         2018-12         2019-12             

Assets

Current assets

Cash

Total cash                                           102,030         119,051         128,586         297,532         289,870

Receivables                                           52,382          51,651          47,782          64,387          87,910
Inventories                                           28,738          19,068          23,967          24,403          26,574
Prepaid expenses                                      17,201          14,559          15,429          16,592          19,773
Other current assets                                  53,432         137,310         232,644          86,026          78,405
Total current assets                                 253,783         341,639         448,408         488,940         502,532

Non-current assets

Property, plant and equipment
Gross property, plant and equipment                  171,833         202,842         251,740         292,598         331,351
Accumulated Depreciation                             -65,525        -104,403        -138,221        -176,310        -190,225
Net property, plant and equipment                    106,308          98,439         113,519         116,288         141,126

Goodwill                                             789,803         640,546         640,589         640,537         681,635
Intangible assets                                    382,462         317,997         324,311         287,397         279,187
Other long-term assets                                41,709           9,542          10,247          15,099          24,743
Total non-current assets                           1,320,282       1,066,524       1,088,666       1,059,321       1,126,691

Total assets                                       1,574,065       1,408,163       1,537,074       1,548,261       1,629,223 

Liabilities and stockholders' equity

Liabilities

Current liabilities
Short-term debt                                       10,000          10,000           8,200           8,200               0
Capital leases                                             0               0               0               0           5,824
Accounts payable                                      67,139          55,352          59,435          70,796          93,529
Taxes payable                                          1,654           2,587           2,112           1,917           1,846
Accrued liabilities                                   21,883          27,230          62,507          43,638          42,754
Deferred revenues                                     10,836           9,222          10,450          12,887          29,150
Other current liabilities                            139,819         239,123         317,744         334,198         234,087
Total current liabilities                            251,331         343,514         460,448         471,636         407,190

Non-current liabilities
Long-term debt                                     1,153,579       1,111,880       1,159,643       1,155,016       1,108,078
Deferred taxes liabilities                            27,644          57,611          38,207          27,867          26,401
Accrued liabilities                                    4,091           2,951          19,409           2,637          33,566
Total non-current liabilities                      1,185,314       1,172,442       1,217,259       1,185,520       1,168,045

Total liabilities                                  1,436,645       1,515,956       1,677,707       1,657,156       1,575,235 

Stockholders' equity

Common stock                                              91              91              93              95             109
Additional paid-in capital                           258,020         264,755         282,070         298,929         445,162
Retained earnings                                     55,180        -194,299        -246,202        -229,457        -212,940
Treasury stock                                      -176,189        -176,231        -176,341        -176,464        -177,524
Accumulated other comprehensive income                   318          -2,109            -253          -1,998            -819
Total stockholders' equity                           137,420        -107,793        -140,633        -108,895          53,988
Total liabilities and stockholders' equity         1,574,065       1,408,163       1,537,074       1,548,261       1,629,223

____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


EVERI HOLDINGS INC  (EVRI)                  Statement of CASH FLOW

Fiscal year ends in December. USD in thousand        2015-12         2016-12         2017-12         2018-12         2019-12             TTM           

Cash Flows From Operating Activities
Net income                                          -104,972        -249,479         -51,903          12,356          16,517          16,517
Depreciation & amortization                          138,638         153,325         124,606         134,891         140,845         140,845
Investment/asset impairment charges                   75,008         150,588               0           2,575           1,268           1,268
Deferred income taxes                                -19,878          29,940         -20,015         -10,343          -1,593          -1,593
Stock based compensation                               8,284           6,735           6,411           7,251           9,857           9,857
Change in working capital                             -1,105          17,893         -36,374         128,266        -108,532        -108,532
Accounts receivable                                   -5,070          -8,169            -884         -29,320         -41,754         -41,754
Inventory                                             -1,075           5,600          -5,753          -3,848          -3,067          -3,067
Prepaid expenses                                      -5,553           4,480          -1,536           1,672         -18,724         -18,724
Other working capital                                 10,593          15,982         -28,201         159,762         -44,987         -44,987
Other non-cash items                                  28,612          22,709          73,103          19,290          26,528          26,528
Net cash provided by operating activities            124,587         131,711          95,828         294,286          84,890          84,890

Cash Flows From Investing Activities
Investments in property, plant, and equipmen         -79,801         -80,741         -96,490        -103,031        -114,291        -114,291
Property, plant, and equipment reductions              2,102           4,599              10             237              56              56
Acquisitions, net                                    -10,857            -694               0               0         -35,000         -35,000
Purchases of intangibles                              -2,813               0               0               0               0               0
Sales of intangibles                                   3,104               0               0               0               0               0
Other investing activities                             2,716         -11,218         -13,499         -20,556         -17,102         -17,102
Net cash used for investing activities               -85,549         -88,054        -109,979        -123,350        -166,337        -166,337

Cash Flows From Financing Activities
Debt issued                                          335,000               0       1,195,000               0               0               0
Debt repayment                                      -360,000         -24,400      -1,154,700          -8,200         -58,700         -58,700
Common stock issued                                        0               0               0               0         122,376         122,376
Common stock repurchased                                -169             -42            -110            -123          -1,060          -1,060
Other financing activities                               618            -480         -17,796           8,334          14,997          14,997
Net cash provided by (used for) financing            -24,551         -24,922          22,394              11          77,613          77,613

Effect of exchange rate changes                       -1,552          -1,714           1,292          -1,370           1,263           1,263
Net change in cash                                    12,935          17,021           9,535         169,577          -2,571          -2,571
Cash at beginning of period                           89,095         102,030         119,051         129,604         299,181         299,181
Cash at end of period                                102,030         119,051         128,586         299,181         296,610         296,610

Free Cash Flow
Operating cash flow                                  124,587         131,711          95,828         294,286          84,890          84,890
Capital expenditure                                  -79,801         -80,741         -96,490        -103,031        -114,291        -114,291
Free cash flow                                        44,786          50,970            -662         191,255         -29,401         -29,401
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________





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Average to Current P/E Ratios
              (EVRI)     Everi Holdings Inc.

                               2015    2016    2017    2018    2019

          Annual Earnings:    -1.59   -3.78   -0.78    0.17    0.21
Average Price During Year:     6.58    2.36    6.05    7.61    9.56

                P/E Ratio:     4.14    0.62    7.76   44.76   45.54

 Average 5-Year P/E Ratio  =  20.57
             Current Price =  8.22

Previous 5 Quarter Earnings:   0.06    0.08    0.07    0.12   -0.06

          Current Annualized (Last Four Quarters) Earnings =   0.13
                                                           ________
                                 Average PE / Current PE =     0.33
                                                           --------

                                      ...a number above 1.00 is good
                                                1.00 or below is bad


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Financial Ratios

. . . . . . . . . . . . Lowest to Highest, Compared to Industry



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Intrinsic Value (DCF)

Intrinsic Value by Discounted Cash Flow Method:

Not in database.



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Fair Value Estimate:

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Insider Activity

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Institutional Activity

Institutional Ownership:

institutions 1
Mutual Fund Ownership:

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Sentiment

sentiment

Zenith uses the "sentiment" score above or below 50 to award a positive or negative point in the Decision Matrix.

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Short Interest Ratio

As the short interest rises as a percentage of average daily share volume (Days to Cover), this is considered a measure of negative sentiment. Similarly, a decrease in that percentage is considered positive sentiment.

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Management's Discussion of Results of Operations Excerpts

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Channeling Potential

 
The summary below includes a value for `Degree,' which refers on a
scale of 1 to 10 the range of a channel in the period under consi-
deration compared to the total range of price movement. It also looks
for the last closing price to be within the channel, otherwise zeroed.
The `Index' is the `Degree' weighted for volatility.  Generally, the
the higher the index, the more suitable is the stock for trading as
a `rolling stock' between channel high and low points.

Results for EVERI HOLDINGS INC.:
Symbol? EVRI
Total Months Available:  25
       Months in Cycle?   4

Months Covered by Periods:  12

Period 1           Period 2          Period 3
   H1      L1        H2      L2        H3      L3
  12.29    7.49     12.56    7.92     14.88    8.81

RANGE   =  14.88  TO    7.49            Close =   7.77
CHANNEL =  12.29  TO    8.81           Degree =   5
Volatility =  44.79%                    Index =  22
Channel Chart



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MACD Histogram Divergence

The theory is that connecting the two most recent peaks or valleys of the MACD histogram will signal the direction of the next major move.



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Intraday Chart

2 Days:



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Val Idea

0 out of 7 favorable, (negative opinion.)

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Time Series Forecast

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Neural Network Prediction

"Neurostock" can only track long trades. Therefore its performance, as tracked by itself on stocks which are consistently falling, may not appear as good as it could if each "sell" signal were a "short sale."

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Ultimate Trading Systems

3 out of 3 of the ultimate systems favor a downmove.


System Below:
Short term outlook: Positive: Bright Green, Negative: Bright Red
Long term outlook: Postive: Dark Green, Negative: Dark Red.




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Recommendation

Decision Weighting Factors
FactorsWeighted Points
News - 1
Comparison - 1
Industry - 1
Bond Issue + 1
Zenith Index + 1
Non-GAAP vs. GAAP Earnings - 1
Cash Flow - 1
Average to Current P/E + 1
Ratios - 1
Intrinsic Value DCF 0
Fair Value Estimator - 1
Projected Earnings + 1
Research Reports - 1

Analysts + 1
Executive Perquisites + 1
Insider Activity - 1
Institutional Activity + 1
Management Reporting + 1
Short Interest - 1
Sentiment - 1
Standard & Poor's + 1
MACD Histogram Divergence - 1
Val Idea - 1
Stock Consultant + 1
Point & Figure - 1
Wall Street Analyzer - 1
Marketspace Chart - 1
Time Series Chart + 1
Neural Network - 1
Stock Options + 1
Ultimate Trading Systems - 1
Total - 6
Place 4,180 shares of Everi Holdings, Inc. (EVRI) on the Active List.