10-23-2019: Copart, Inc. (CPRT): Auctioning Off Car Wrecks at Low Bid Prices

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Recommendation

Copart, Inc.

Would you buy a wreck for a used car? Apparently, many people do. So many people do this in fact, that their business supports various auction sites all across the world. Copart, Inc. (CPRT) is one of the leading provider of auction sites, wrecking yards, and used parts sales. Insurance companies like more efficient service from salvagers. Even cars that have been labeled "totaled" find buyers waiting to rebuild them. They can be obtained for what seem like ridiculously low prices through an auction bidding system. Buyers of a "wreck" find inspectors working through companies to check out cars to see exactly upon what they are bidding and anticipate the ultimate fixup costs.

Copart has a good website, CEO Letter, and although it pays no dividends shows concern for shareholders and is expanding rapidly all over the world from its Texas base. Management seems reasonable compensated in good corporate governance. News for this company is a steady stream of PR announcements of new site openings or expanding acreage for existing sites to deal with more and more cars. The way people drive these days, many if not most without ever having taken a defensive driving course in their lives, or if in areas like L.A. drive with little fear of any interference by local police for speeding and reckess driving.

The company could be classified either as an auto dealership or an auction site. Auction operations are in a strong performing industry group lately.

Some researchers including Standard & Poor's are reserved on the stock, as the stock has seen a huge rise in recent years and no sign of stopping further growth, putting a little stress on valuation. Intrinsic values are high. The Zenith Index is passable indicating reasonable fundamentals, although the p/e seems a little high to us at this point.

Institutions and some technical evaluation methods think the stock is showing signs of being a little "toppy." We think the stock could drop back into a trading range as far down as $55 to $70 per share from its lofty height of $83. But one shouldn't hold his breath on that as so far the stock continuously looks like a "buy and hold."



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Zenith Index

Under current market conditions, a Zenith Index Score of 1.20 or above is required for a positive rating on this factor. 1.21 -1.30 is considered acceptable, 1.30-1.40 is considered strong and
> 1.40 is considered exceptionally strong. Accounting statements in this section often contain mistakes, especially in earlier years' totals, but data is deemed sufficient for us to give a rating. More accurate financial statements follow in the next section.


Copart, Inc. (CPRT)                                       Exchange: Nasdaq
14185 Dallas Parkway
Suite 300                        Sector: Consumer Cyclical
Dallas, TX 75254                 Industry:Auto & Truck Dealerships

Copart, Inc. provides online auctions and vehicle remarketing services.
It offers a range of services for processing and selling vehicles over
the Internet through its Virtual Bidding Third Generation Internet
auction-style sales technology to vehicle sellers, insurance companies,
banks and finance companies, charities, and fleet operators and dealers,
as well as for individual owners. The company's services include online
seller access, salvage estimation, estimating, end-of-life vehicle
processing, virtual insured exchange, transportation, vehicle inspection
stations, on-demand reporting, title processing and procurement, loan
payoff, flexible vehicle processing programs, buy it now, member
network, sales process, and dealer services. Its services also comprise
services to sell vehicles through CashForCars.com; and U-Pull-It service
that allows buyer to remove valuable parts, and sell the remaining parts
and car body. The company sells its products principally to licensed
vehicle dismantlers, rebuilders, repair licensees, used vehicle dealers,
and exporters, as well as to the general public. As of September 4,
2019, it operated through approximately 200 locations in 11 countries.
Copart, Inc. was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.

Last Trade:  82.32                           52-Week Range:  84.33 -  44.61
Employees: 7,327                             Avg.Volume:   1,385,553 Shares

Corporate Governance:
Pllar scores are Audit: 2; Board: 10; Shareholder Rights: 2; Compensation: 9.
         (A lower number means less governance risk.)

EPS:  2.46    Dividend Amount: $ 0.00          Yield:  0.00%
             Ex-Dividend Date:          N/A           Payout Ratio:   0.00

Key Statistics:

    Trailing P/E:  33.99              Forward P/E (est.):  28.25
                                           Target Price:  87.50

Qrtly Stock Price Growth (yoy):  63.07%               Beta:   0.00
Qrtly S&P Index   Growth (yoy):  20.80%        Short Ratio:   2.68%
    Qrtly Revenue Growth (yoy):   8.36%         Shares Out:  232250000
   Qrtly Earnings Growth (yoy):  39.90%

          Book Value:   7.74                    Debt/Equity:  22.56%
    Price/Book Value:  10.81        Operating Profit Margin:  35.09%
         Price/Sales:   9.51                  Profit Margin:  28.98%
         Market Cap:  19,421,000,000       Return on Equity:  35.22%
    Enterprise Value:  19,120,000,000      Return on Assets:  18.45%

    Operating Cash Flow:    646,650,000
         Free Cash Flow:    108,820,000



Annual Income Statement:                          (All numbers in thousands)
  Period Ending                              7/31/2019   7/31/2018   7/31/2017

  Total Revenue                              2,041,957           0   1,805,695
  Cost of Revenue                                    0   1,143,615           0
  Gross Profit                                 723,863           0     898,342

Operating Expenses:
  Research & Development                             0           0           0
  Selling, General & Administrative                  0     176,890     151,364
  Total Operating Expenses                           0     176,890     151,364

Operating Income or Loss                             0     585,476     480,664

Income from Continuing Operations:
  Total Other Income/Expenses Net                    0      -3,890     -18,191
  Interest Expense                                   0      20,368      23,779
  Income Before Taxes                                0     562,511     440,100
  Income Tax Expense                                 0      45,839     125,505
Net Income from Continuing Op.s                591,693           0     418,007

Net Income Avail to Common Shares                    0     417,867     394,227

Annual Cash Flow Statement:                   (All numbers in thousands)
  Period Ending                          7/31/2019     7/31/2018     7/31/2017

  Net Income                               591,693             0       418,007

Operating Activities:
  Depreciation                              79,040        57,441        49,643
  Accounts Receivable                      -40,335       -38,542       -54,213
  Changes in Liabilities                    -8,205       -20,792       -16,125
  Inventories                               -3,959         1,294        -2,509
  Changes in other Oper'g Acts             247,159       319,880       158,581

Total Cash Flow f Operations               535,069       492,058       332,498

Investing Activities:
  Capital Exenditures                     -287,910      -172,178      -173,917
  Investments                             -287,910      -172,178      -173,917
  Other Cash Flows fr Investing                  0           105           100

Total Cash Flows from Investing           -288,476      -335,791      -172,876

Financing Activities:
  Dividends Paid                                 0             0             0
  Sale of Purchase of Stock                      0             0      -457,894
  Net Borrowings                          -231,000        -7,000      -337,500
  Other Cash Flows fr Financing             -1,350      -135,433           100

Total Cash Flows from Financing           -182,038      -106,975      -448,496

Change in Cash & Cash Equiv.                64,420        54,251      -300,163



Annual Balance Sheets:                              (All Numbers in Thousands)
  Period Ending                           7/31/2019     7/31/2018     7/31/2017
Current Assets:
  Cash & Cash Equivalents                   186,319       274,520       210,100
  Short Term Investments                          0             0             0
  Net Receivables                           367,265       125,255       110,189
  Inventory                                  20,941        16,734        10,163
  Other Current Assets                            0        51,018        41,281
  Total Current Assets                      574,525       379,326       347,952
Non-current Assets:
  Long-Term Investments                      43,836        32,560        33,716
  Property, Plant & Equipt                        0     1,653,545     1,396,050
  Goodwill                                  333,321       337,235       340,243
  Intangible Assets                          55,156        64,892        75,938
  Accumulated Amortization                        0      -490,120      -451,994
  Other Assets                               43,836        32,560        33,716

Total Assets                              2,547,617     2,307,698     1,982,501

Current Liabilities:
  Accounts Payable                          270,918       133,717        71,160
  Taxes Payable                               3,482           673         6,472
  Other Current Liabilities                       0        62,443        50,603
  Total Current Liabilities               2,366,960       184,993      1,933,930

  Long Term Debt                            270,918       133,717        71,160
  Deferred LT Liab. Charges                       0        62,443        50,603

Total Liabilities                         2,920,943       738,976     2,487,913

Stockholder Equity:
  Common Stock                                   23            23            23
  Retained Earnings                       1,338,328     1,162,146       745,370
  Other Stockhohlder Equity                -132,529      -107,928      -100,676
  Total Stockholder Equity                1,778,381     1,778,381     1,778,381

Net Tangible Assets                       2,547,617     2,307,698     1,982,501


Copart, Inc. (CPRT)                         [Indices near +3.0, near zero,
                                            or < zero bear special attention.]
P/E Ratio Tests:
P/E Ratio < 28?            0.8238          P/E Ratio > 5?             1.0000
P/E Ratio Vs Growth Rate:  3.0000          Forward P/E Ratio < 28?    0.9912
Price/Sales Ratio < 2.3?   0.2419          Inventory/Sales < 5%?      3.0000
Sales < $1 Billion?        0.4897          Operating Margin < 7.5%?   0.2137

Balance Sheet Tests:
Debt/Equity < 0.40?        1.7730          Long-Term Debt Service:   -0.9331
LTD Being Reduced?         0.0000          Short-Term Debt Service:   3.0000
Current Ratio > 2?         0.1214          Working Capital >= 1.5?    3.0000
Leverage Ratio < 20%?      0.2872          Debt/Assets < 1?           3.0000
Quick Ratio > 1?           3.0000          Inventory Turnover > 1?    1.0000
Share Equity Increase:     2.0000          Market Cap.< 1.5 Billion?  0.0772
                                           Intangibles < 3% Assets?   0.1967
Income Tests:
Profit Margin < 7.5%?      3.0000          EPS Annual Growth > 10%?   0.0943
Dividend Yield > 2.0%?     0.0000          EPS 3-yr Growth > 15?      0.1415
Enterprise Value/Revenue   3.0000          EPS Growth Consistent?     0.0000
Enterprise Value/EBITDA:   3.0000          Collection < 45 days?      0.6855
EPS Qrtly Growth > 10%?    0.0025          Gross Pft / LTD > 1?    1.8092
                                           Borrowing Int. Rate < 6%?  3.0000
Stock Performance Tests:
Volatility > 25%?          1.8840          % Held by Insiders < 5%?   0.3873
Beta > 1.25?               0.0000          % Held by Institut. < 50?  0.5752
50 Da MA > 200 Da MA?      0.2402          % Held by Institut. > 30?  2.8977
52-Wk Change vs. S&P 500:  3.0000          Short Ratio > 5?           0.5360
Price/Book Value < 3?      0.2821          Short % of Float > 20?     0.1070
Return on Assets > 17%?    1.0853          Average Volume > 100,000?  3.0000

Cash Flow Tests:
Oper. C.F. > Lever'd C.F:  3.0000          Positive Free Cash Flow?   3.0000
Positive Oper. Cash Flow?  3.0000          Price to C.F.Ratio < 14?:  0.7249
                                           Cash Flow / Assets > 10%?  3.0000

CPRT   Copart, Inc.                        Overall Zenith Index:      1.3825


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Financial Statements

COPART INC  (CPRT)                          INCOME STATEMENT

Fiscal year ends in July. USD in thousands e         2015-07         2016-07         2017-07         2018-07         2019-07             TTM           

Revenue                                            1,146,079       1,268,449       1,447,981       1,805,695       2,041,957       2,041,957
Cost of revenue                                      662,703         723,863         815,953       1,043,329       1,143,615       1,143,615
Gross profit                                         483,376         544,586         632,028         762,366         898,342         898,342


Operating expenses
Sales, General and administrative                    138,975         138,116         151,364         176,890         181,867         181,867
Total operating expenses                             138,975         138,116         151,364         176,890         181,867         181,867

Operating income                                     344,401         406,470         480,664         585,476         716,475         716,475
Interest Expense                                      18,121          23,606          23,779          20,368          19,810          19,810
Other income (expense)                                 5,789          13,001         -16,785          -2,597           8,286           8,286
Income before income taxes                           332,069         395,865         440,100         562,511         704,951         704,951
Provision for income taxes                           112,286         125,505          45,839         144,504         113,258         113,258
Minority interest                                          0               0              34             140               0               0
Other income                                               0               0              34             140               0               0
Net income from continuing operations                219,783         270,360         394,261         418,007         591,693         591,693
Other                                                      0               0             -34            -140               0               0
Net income                                           219,783         270,360         394,227         417,867         591,693         591,693
Net income available to common shareholders          219,783         270,360         394,227         417,867         591,693         591,693

Earnings per share
Basic                                                   0.88            1.18            1.72            1.80            2.57            2.57 
Diluted                                                 0.83            1.10            1.66            1.73            2.46            2.46 

Weighted average shares outstanding
Basic                                                251,828         228,846         228,686         231,793         230,489         230,489
Diluted                                              262,850         244,294         237,019         241,877         240,453         240,453

____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


COPART INC  (CPRT)                          BALANCE SHEET

Fiscal year ends in July. USD in thousands e         2015-07         2016-07         2017-07         2018-07         2019-07             

Assets

Current assets

Cash

Total cash                                           456,012         155,849         210,100         274,520         186,319

Receivables                                          221,788         285,021         318,264         366,913         386,791
Inventories                                            8,613          10,388          10,163          16,734          20,941
Deferred income taxes                                  3,396           1,444               0               0               0
Prepaid expenses                                      19,824          18,005          17,616          16,665          16,568
Other current assets                                  24,949          28,599          31,118          34,284          76,548
Total current assets                                 734,582         499,306         587,261         709,116         687,167

Non-current assets

Property, plant and equipment
Land                                                 481,748         556,780         629,826         762,524         939,817
Fixtures and equipment                               180,042         185,982         210,699         280,057         338,916
Other properties                                     453,965         489,566         555,525         610,964         686,615
Property and equipment, at cost                    1,115,755       1,232,328       1,396,050       1,653,545       1,965,348
Accumulated Depreciation                            -415,353        -415,537        -451,994        -490,120        -537,622
Property, plant and equipment, net                   700,402         816,791         944,056       1,163,425       1,427,726

Goodwill                                             271,850         260,198         340,243         337,235         333,321
Intangible assets                                     17,857          11,761          75,938          64,892          55,156
Deferred income taxes                                 28,840          23,506           1,287             470             411
Other long-term assets                                46,421          38,258          33,716          32,560          43,836
Total non-current assets                           1,065,370       1,150,514       1,395,240       1,598,582       1,860,450

Total assets                                       1,799,952       1,649,820       1,982,501       2,307,698       2,547,617 

Liabilities and stockholders' equity

Liabilities

Current liabilities
Short-term debt                                       53,671          76,151          82,155           1,151           1,138
Accounts payable                                      57,517          76,953          71,160         133,717         113,947
Deferred income taxes                                      0               0              92               0               0
Taxes payable                                          8,279           5,625           6,472             673           3,482
Accrued liabilities                                   30,417          41,544          55,479          37,566          42,150
Deferred revenues                                     37,595          45,128          55,622          66,931          79,887
Other current liabilities                             25,647          33,382          31,173          37,218          41,400
Total current liabilities                            213,126         278,783         302,153         277,256         282,004

Non-current liabilities
Long-term debt                                       592,135         564,341         550,883         398,747         400,091
Deferred taxes liabilities                             5,322           3,816           3,192          19,733          48,683
Minority interest                                          0               0             534               0               0
Other long-term liabilities                           24,905          28,424          27,673          30,863          38,458
Total non-current liabilities                        622,362         596,581         582,282         449,343         487,232

Total liabilities                                    835,488         875,364         884,435         726,599         769,236 

Stockholders' equity

Common stock                                              12              11              23              23              23
Additional paid-in capital                           407,808         392,445         453,349         526,858         572,559
Retained earnings                                    625,437         491,194         745,370       1,162,146       1,338,328
Accumulated other comprehensive income               -68,793        -109,194        -100,676        -107,928        -132,529
Total stockholders' equity                           964,464         774,456       1,098,066       1,581,099       1,778,381
Total liabilities and stockholders' equity         1,799,952       1,649,820       1,982,501       2,307,698       2,547,617

____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


COPART INC  (CPRT)                          Statement of CASH FLOW

Fiscal year ends in July. USD in thousands e         2015-07         2016-07         2017-07         2018-07         2019-07             TTM           

Cash Flows From Operating Activities
Depreciation & amortization                           48,893          49,643          57,441          79,040          85,334          85,334
Investment/asset impairment charges                        0               0          19,365           1,157               0               0
Deferred income taxes                                  4,365           5,740          19,901          16,717          23,167          23,167
Stock based compensation                              18,154          20,864          20,840          23,221          23,445          23,445
Accounts receivable                                  -20,417         -54,213         -38,542         -40,335         -60,808         -60,808
Inventory                                             -1,731          -2,509           1,294          -3,959          -4,719          -4,719
Prepaid expenses                                          69            -738           1,760            -776            -204            -204
Accounts payable                                      -3,926          48,347           4,269          53,320          11,126          11,126
Income taxes payable                                  -1,971           2,788            -333          -3,149          10,669          10,669
Other working capital                                  6,324          -9,800          10,760         -13,306         -29,974         -29,974
Other non-cash items                                 215,316         272,376         395,303         423,139         588,610         588,610
Net cash provided by operating activities            265,076         332,498         492,058         535,069         646,646         646,646

Cash Flows From Investing Activities
Investments in property, plant, and equipmen         -79,153        -173,917        -172,178        -287,910        -373,883        -373,883
Property, plant, and equipment reductions              1,521             562             660           6,425          18,361          18,361
Acquisitions, net                                     -4,500               0        -164,378          -6,991            -745            -745
Purchases of investments                                   0         -21,119               0               0               0               0
Sales/Maturities of investments                            0          21,498               0               0               0               0
Other investing charges                                  217             100             105               0               0               0
Net cash used for investing activities               -81,915        -172,876        -335,791        -288,476        -356,267        -356,267

Cash Flows From Financing Activities
Long-term debt issued                                698,939         331,468               0               0               0               0
Long-term debt repayment                            -350,000        -337,500          -7,000        -231,000               0               0
Excess tax benefit from stock based compe              2,971               0               0               0               0               0
Repurchases of treasury stock                       -237,306        -457,894               0               0        -364,997        -364,997
Other financing activities                             5,758          15,430         -99,975          48,962          -5,307          -5,307
Net cash provided by (used for) financing            120,362        -448,496        -106,975        -182,038        -370,304        -370,304

Effect of exchange rate changes                       -6,179         -11,289           4,959            -135          -8,276          -8,276
Net change in cash                                   297,344        -300,163          54,251          64,420         -88,201         -88,201
Cash at beginning of period                          158,668         456,012         155,849         210,100         274,520         274,520
Cash at end of period                                456,012         155,849         210,100         274,520         186,319         186,319

Free Cash Flow
Operating cash flow                                  265,076         332,498         492,058         535,069         646,646         646,646
Capital expenditure                                  -79,153        -173,917        -172,178        -287,910        -373,883        -373,883
Free cash flow                                       185,923         158,581         319,880         247,159         272,763         272,763
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________





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Average to Current P/E Ratios
              (CPRT)     Copart Inc.

                               2014    2015    2016    2017    2018

          Annual Earnings:     0.84    1.11    1.66    1.73    2.46
Average Price During Year:    17.51   17.93   22.96   31.85   52.06

                P/E Ratio:    20.84   16.16   13.83   18.41   21.16

 Average 5-Year P/E Ratio  =  18.08
             Current Price =  82.32

Previous 5 Quarter Earnings:   0.45    0.47    0.55    0.81    0.64

          Current Annualized (Last Four Quarters) Earnings =   2.00
                                                           ________
                                 Average PE / Current PE =     0.44
                                                           --------

                                      ...a number above 1.00 is good
                                                1.00 or below is bad


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Sentiment

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Channeling Potential

 
The summary below includes a value for `Degree,' which refers on a
scale of 1 to 10 the range of a channel in the period under consi-
deration compared to the total range of price movement. It also looks
for the last closing price to be within the channel, otherwise zeroed.
The `Index' is the `Degree' weighted for volatility.  Generally, the
the higher the index, the more suitable is the stock for trading as
a `rolling stock' between channel high and low points.

Results for COPART INC.:
Symbol? CPRT
Total Months Available:  25
       Months in Cycle?   4

Months Covered by Periods:  12

Period 1           Period 2          Period 3
   H1      L1        H2      L2        H3      L3
  54.29   44.61     75.50   51.99     83.70   72.76

RANGE   =  83.70  TO   44.61            Close =  81.02
CHANNEL =  72.76  TO   54.29           Degree =   5
Volatility =  22.80%                    Index =  11
Channel Chart



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8 out of 12 favorable, (positive opinion.)

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3 out of 3 of the ultimate systems favor an upmove.


System Below:
Short term outlook: Positive: Bright Green, Negative: Bright Red
Long term outlook: Postive: Dark Green, Negative: Dark Red.




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Recommendation

Decision Weighting Factors
FactorsWeighted Points
News + 1
Comparison - 1
Industry + 1
Bond Issue 0
Zenith Index + 1
Non-GAAP vs. GAAP Earnings - 1
Cash Flow - 1
Average to Current P/E - 1
Ratios + 1
Intrinsic Value DCF + 1
Fair Value Estimator + 1
Projected Earnings + 1
Research Reports + 1
Analysts + 1
Executive Perquisites + 1
Insider Activity - 1
Institutional Activity - 1
Management Reporting + 1
Short Interest - 1
Sentiment + 1
Standard & Poor's - 1
MACD Histogram Divergence - 1
Val Idea + 1
Stock Consultant - 1
Point & Figure + 1
Wall Street Analyzer + 1
Marketspace Chart + 1
Time Series Chart - 1
Neural Network + 1
Stock Options + 1
Ultimate Trading Systems + 1
Total + 8
Place 360 shares of Copart, Inc. (CPRT) on the Active List.